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ADBE

AdobeADBE

$268.96
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Quality Score
4.6
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Why Adobe stock moved?

Updated Aug 7 at 11:01am ET.

$268.96
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What's happening with the stock

Adobe rose about 0.4 percent today, its sixth straight day of gains, and has now climbed 10 percent this week. We think this is mostly about a new ChatGPT partnership that shows Adobe is leading in AI rather than being disrupted by it.

Our view

The market's fear that AI would kill Adobe's business is starting to fade as the company proves its tools are still the professional standard. If you've been thinking about buying, the stock is still trading at a reasonable price for a company growing this steadily.

Read full thesis on Adobe

Latest Adobe updates

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ADBE
ProductPositive
Aug 7

Adobe brings its full creative suite to ChatGPT

Adobe is making its entire collection of 70 creative tools available through a new ChatGPT plugin. This allows people to use Adobe's specialized software for video, images, and audio directly within the popular AI chatbot.

This is a smart move to keep Adobe's tools at the center of how people create. By meeting users where they are already using AI, Adobe makes it less likely that they will switch to newer rivals. It reinforces the idea that Adobe's software is the standard that other AI platforms need to work with, rather than a legacy product being replaced by them.

Source: Forbes

ADBE
Macro & policyWorth watching
Jul 29

Rising debt costs for AI hardware may strain tech budgets

The biggest technology companies are borrowing heavily to build the data centers and buy the chips needed for artificial intelligence. Because there is so much of this debt hitting the market at once, investors are demanding higher yields, which are the interest rates companies must pay to borrow money.

While Adobe is a software company and does not build hardware at the same scale as the giants, rising borrowing costs across the sector can eventually squeeze the budgets of the customers who buy Adobe's software. If the industry's massive spending on AI infrastructure becomes too expensive, it could lead to more discipline and slower spending on the software tools that run on that infrastructure.

Source: Reuters

ADBE
Macro & policyPositive
Jul 29

Investors favor software as AI hardware spending concerns rise

Investors are growing concerned about the massive amount of cash big tech firms are spending on AI data centers and chips without seeing immediate returns. This is causing a rotation where money is moving out of hardware makers and into software companies like Adobe.

This shift is a positive sign for our view on the company. While the hardware giants face pressure to justify their spending, Adobe is already selling AI features to its massive base of creative professionals. Because Adobe's tools are already deeply embedded in how people work, it can generate new revenue from AI without the same level of infrastructure risk.

ADBE
Macro & policyPositive
Jul 28

Investors rotate from AI hardware toward software growth

Investors are beginning to rotate money out of the companies building AI hardware and into those that use AI to drive their own business growth. While much of the market's focus has been on the massive spending required for data centers, this shift favors software companies that can turn AI features into higher subscription revenue.

For Adobe, this trend is a vote of confidence in its ability to integrate generative AI into its creative tools. As the market looks for growth beyond the hardware buildout, Adobe's established ecosystem and its new AI-driven products make it a primary destination for investors seeking software-led growth.

Source: CNBC

ADBE
Analyst price updateConcerning
Jul 21

Morgan Stanley downgrades to underweight on AI competition

Morgan Stanley downgraded the stock and lowered its price target by more than a third to $240. The firm is concerned that the rise of artificial intelligence could lower the barriers for new competitors to enter the creative software market, potentially challenging Adobe's long-standing dominance.

This move reflects a growing debate on whether AI is a tool that strengthens Adobe's existing products or a force that makes them less essential. While Adobe is aggressively adding AI features to its software, analysts at Morgan Stanley worry that specialized AI alternatives could eventually lure users away from the traditional Adobe ecosystem.

Source: Morgan Stanley

Adobe analyst price targets

Analysts issued a wave of downgrades and price target cuts on June 12. Most analysts are split, with 31 of 63 rating the stock a buy, while the average target of $261 suggests the price is already slightly overvalued.

Average target$261.16-3%vs $268.96 today
Avg price
Low $190High $379
Hold63 analysts
5Bearish
27Neutral
31Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
$240
7/21/2026
CLSA
Outperform
$300
7/20/2026
HSBC
Buy
$308
7/2/2026
BMO Capital
Market Perform
$285→$230
6/12/2026
Piper Sandler
Neutral
$280→$240
6/12/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$250
6/12/2026
Goldman Sachs
Sell
$220→$190
6/12/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$447→$379
6/12/2026
UBS
Neutral
$365
6/12/2026
Robert W. Baird
Neutral
$270→$230
6/12/2026
Mizuho Securities
Neutral
$245
6/12/2026
KeyBanc
Underweight
$235→$195
6/12/2026

Adobe earnings

Adobe has a perfect track record of clearing its own bars, beating analyst profit targets for eight straight quarters. Management clearly knows how to set expectations they can reliably meet.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$4.49$5.30$6.12Sep '24Dec '24Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Mar '26Jun '26nextSep '26

Adobe past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$5.82$5.96+2.4%
Revenue$6.45B$6.62B+2.5%

Key highlights

  • Artificial intelligence demand surging: Annualized recurring revenue from products built primarily around artificial intelligence tripled over the past year to more than $500 million. This shows that the company is successfully turning its new AI features into a significant source of predictable income.
  • Business professionals segment leads: Subscription sales for the division serving business professionals and individual consumers grew 16% to $1.85 billion. This outpaced the 13% growth in the larger creative and marketing division, which brought in $4.54 billion.
  • CFO departure and interim leadership: Chief Financial Officer Dan Durn is leaving the company on June 15, 2026, to pursue a different professional opportunity. Steve Day, a finance executive with 20 years of experience at the firm, will take over the role on an interim basis while the company searches for a permanent replacement.
  • Full year outlook raised: Management increased its full year revenue target to a range between $26.50 billion and $26.60 billion. This higher forecast reflects strong momentum in AI products and expects total recurring revenue to grow 10.2% for the year.
  • Aggressive share buybacks: The company spent its cash to buy back 8.5 million shares of its own stock during the quarter. Reducing the number of shares in circulation helps increase the portion of profit that belongs to each remaining shareholder.

Our take: This was a strong quarter that showed artificial intelligence is move from a buzzword to a real moneymaker for the company. The tripling of AI-related recurring revenue is the standout fact here, proving customers will pay for these new tools. It reinforces our view that the company remains the leader in its field.

Adobe’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
SEP
10
Expectation
EPS$6.08
Revenue$6.69B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
AI-first ARR
Reaching $1.0 billion by the end of FY2026
Over $500 million as of Q2 2026
Total ARR Growth
Staying above 10% year over year
10.2% projected for FY2026
Creative Cloud Retention
Maintaining NRR above 110% in enterprise
13% YoY growth in Creative subscription revenue in Q2 2026
Operating Margin
Staying above 44% on a non-GAAP basis
45% non-GAAP target for FY2026

More Adobe coverage from around the web

Adobe Debuts ChatGPT App Featuring All Its Programs

Forbes · Aug 6

Figma Q2 Earnings Preview: Adobe Is A Better Option

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 2

Adobe: How AI Is Enhancing Its Business, Not Killing It

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 31

A Gamble That Could Revitalize Adobe Stock After A 38% Drop

Forbes · Jul 23

Adobe stock has been crushed by AI fears. Now Morgan Stanley has cut its rating to underweight.

Market Watch · Jul 21

Adobe camera app's new feature will critique your photos using AI

TechCrunch · Jul 20

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