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AllstateALL

$258.06
Updated Aug 13, 2026
Quality Score
3.7
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Why Allstate stock moved?

Updated Aug 13 at 11:26am ET.

$258.06
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What's happening with the stock

Allstate rose about 1 percent today, a calm session that follows a 5 percent slide over the last week. We think this is mostly the whole market moving higher today rather than any specific news about the insurance business.

Our view

Allstate has successfully raised its premiums enough to stay ahead of the rising costs of car parts and home repairs. The business is now generating massive amounts of cash, so owners should sit tight and let that capital build up.

Read full thesis on Allstate

Latest Allstate updates

Follow Allstate to never miss an important update.

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Macro & policyPositive
Aug 13

Wholesale inflation flattened in July

Wholesale prices, which track what businesses pay for goods and services before they reach consumers, were flat in July. This suggests that the cost of living is starting to stabilize across the broader economy.

For an insurance company like Allstate, this is a welcome shift. When the price of car parts and labor stops climbing, the cost to settle claims becomes more predictable. This makes it easier for the company to maintain its profit margins without having to constantly push for the aggressive rate hikes that can frustrate customers and lead them to switch providers.

Source: Market Watch

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Company newsFor the record
Aug 13

Allstate opens a new training campus for claims staff

Allstate opened a new training center designed to help its staff better handle the 8.5 million claims it processes every year. The facility uses real-world home and auto damage scenarios to teach employees how to assess repairs and assist customers. While this is a standard corporate investment, it matters because accurate claims handling is the core of an insurer's profit. If staff can more precisely estimate repair costs, the company avoids overpaying on claims while keeping customers satisfied enough to renew their policies.

Source: PRNewsWire

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Analyst price updatePositive
Aug 6

Roth Capital raised its price target to $300

Roth Capital raised its price target from $275 to $300. This move reflects confidence in the company's ability to generate cash after its recent earnings report showed profits far above what analysts expected. The new target is about 10 percent higher than the current stock price.

Source: Roth Capital

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EarningsPositive
Aug 5

Quarterly earnings far exceeded expectations

Allstate delivered a massive profit of $8.99 per share, easily beating the $6.06 that analysts were looking for. While revenue of $15.43 billion was roughly in line with expectations, the company is earning much more on each policy it sells. This is a sign that the aggressive price hikes the company put in place over the last year are now flowing directly to the bottom line.

Management also increased share repurchases to $1.0 billion for the quarter. This is a clear signal that the company has moved past its period of financial strain and is now focused on returning cash to its owners. With policies in force growing and investment income remaining strong, the business is operating at a very high level of efficiency.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

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Company newsFor the record
Jul 16

June catastrophe losses reached $563 million

The company reported about $563 million in estimated losses from catastrophes in June. These are costs from major events like storms or fires that fall outside of normal daily claims. While the number sounds large, these monthly updates are routine for insurers and help analysts track how weather patterns might affect the quarterly profit.

Source: PRNewsWire

Allstate analyst price targets

Analysts recently raised their price targets for Allstate following the company's strong second-quarter earnings report. Most experts are split, with 19 bullish and 25 neutral or bearish ratings, while the average target suggests 5% upside from current prices.

Average target$270.46+5%vs $258.06 today
Avg price
Low $226High $319
Hold44 analysts
1Bearish
24Neutral
19Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$240→$265
8/11/2026
Raymond James
Strong Buy
$300→$315
8/11/2026
UBS
Neutral
$261→$275
8/10/2026
Goldman Sachs
—
$250→$280
8/7/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$250
8/7/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$275→$300
8/6/2026
Barclays
Underweight
$213→$226
8/6/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$240→$275
7/17/2026
Atlantic Equities
—
$295→$319
7/15/2026
UBS
Neutral
$261
7/15/2026
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$225→$240
7/10/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
$236→$242
7/9/2026

Allstate earnings

Allstate has a perfect record of beating profit forecasts over the last two years. Management consistently delivers much higher earnings than analysts expect, showing they have a firm grip on pricing and costs.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$2.06$8.33$14.61Oct '24Feb '25Apr '25Jul '25Nov '25Feb '26Apr '26Aug '26nextNov '26

Allstate past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$6.06$8.99+48.3%
Revenue$15.46B$15.43B-0.2%

Key highlights

  • Profitability remains strong: The property and liability combined ratio, which measures how much of every premium dollar is used to pay claims and expenses, improved to 86.6 in the quarter compared to 91.1 a year ago. A lower number means the company is keeping more of its premiums as profit, and this result is well within the 92 goal management set to maintain long term financial health.
  • Auto policy growth returns: The company increased its total auto policies in force by 2.8% to 25.95 million this quarter, reversing a trend of shrinking policy counts from last year. This growth suggests that recent efforts to expand distribution and marketing are successfully attracting new drivers even as the company maintains its pricing discipline.
  • Homeowners segment recovers: Homeowners insurance produced $226 million in underwriting profit, a sharp turnaround from a $76 million loss in the same period last year. This recovery was driven by an 11.4% increase in earned premiums and a $206 million drop in catastrophe losses, which are costs from major weather events and disasters.
  • Investment income surges: Net investment income grew to $1.0 billion this quarter, which is $255 million higher than the prior year. This jump came from both higher yields on fixed income assets and $239 million in income from performance based investments, such as private equity and real estate holdings.
  • Shareholder returns accelerating: Management ramped up share repurchases to $1.0 billion for the quarter, contributing to a total of $3.5 billion returned to shareholders over the last twelve months. These buybacks represent 6.7% of the company's total market value, showing how much extra cash the business is generating from its operations.

Our take: A very strong quarter that shows the business is firing on all cylinders. Allstate is successfully growing its policy count by 2.6% while keeping its profit margins healthy and well under its target. This balance of growth and discipline strengthens the case that the company has moved past its recent inflation struggles.

Allstate’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
NOV
4
Expectation
EPS$6.07
Revenue$15.90B
AUG
31
Dividend payday
  • Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Combined Ratio
Staying consistently below 92 for the property-liability segment
86.6 in Q2 2026
Auto PIF Growth
Returning to positive year-over-year growth in policies in force
2.8% YoY in Q2 2026
Expense Ratio
Decreasing toward 20% through digital transformation
~24% as of FY2025
Retention Rate
Staying above 85% for homeowners and auto policies
~87% as of FY2024

More Allstate coverage from around the web

Allstate: The Turnaround Is Over, But The Easy Upside Is Gone

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 8

Allstate: Strong Operating Performance Is Not Sustainable In The Long Run

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 7

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