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B. Riley Securities kept its neutral rating on the stock this week, while Jones Trading maintained its buy rating. The average analyst target across the group sits at $14, which is about 10 percent higher than the current stock price. These routine updates suggest that while the company's latest numbers were mixed, the professional outlook on its ability to manage its bond portfolio has not fundamentally shifted.
Source: B. Riley Securities
The company reported a net loss of 327 million dollars for the quarter, driven by a drop in the value of its mortgage bonds. Its book value, which is the estimated worth of all its assets after debts are paid, fell to $14.55 per share. This resulted in a total economic return of negative 13 percent for the three-month period.
Despite the drop in asset values, the company earned enough cash to cover its monthly dividend. It reported distributable earnings of 71 cents per share, which matches the total dividends paid out during the quarter. For a long-term owner, the main takeaway is that while the monthly income remains steady for now, the underlying value of the company's holdings is being squeezed by volatility in the bond market.
See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did
Source: 8-K filing
The company announced it will pay a cash dividend of 24 cents per share in November. This matches the rate paid in previous months, signaling that management believes the portfolio is still generating enough cash to support the current payout level.
For a mortgage REIT, the ability to maintain a steady dividend is the primary reason most people own the stock. While the company's overall value can swing based on interest rates, this confirmation suggests the immediate income stream remains intact.
Source: GlobeNewsWire
Management often sets a high bar and falls just short of it. This pattern of small misses suggests their forecasts are a bit more optimistic than the business can actually deliver.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $0.72 |
| Revenue | $122M |
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