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ASML

ASMLASML

$1704.37
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
4.6
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Why ASML stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 3:21pm ET.

$1.7k
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What's happening with the stock

ASML rose about 2 percent today and has now won back most of its losses from a rocky stretch in late July. We think this is mostly the whole chip sector moving together today rather than any new company news.

Our view

ASML is the only company that can build the machines needed for the world's most advanced chips, which gives it a massive lead that is hard to shake. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that edge play out over the coming years.

Read full thesis on ASML

Latest ASML updates

Follow ASML to never miss an important update.

ASML
Macro & policyWorth watching
Aug 6

Federal Reserve officials flag risks in rapid AI spending

Federal Reserve officials are beginning to monitor the intense pace of spending on artificial intelligence. They are looking at whether the rush to build out data centers and buy chips is creating risks for the broader financial system if that investment eventually slows down.

This matters because ASML is the only company that makes the machines required to print the most advanced AI chips. Its business relies on tech giants continuing to spend billions on infrastructure. If the central bank sees this spending as a risk, it could signal a more cautious environment for the very companies that buy ASML's equipment.

Source: Reuters

ASML
Company newsWorth watching
Jul 27

China reportedly begins making its own chip-printing tools

Reports indicate that a state-backed Chinese firm has started manufacturing its own deep ultraviolet (DUV) lithography machines. These are the tools used to print circuits onto silicon wafers. While ASML still has a total monopoly on the most advanced machines, this domestic progress in China targets the older generation of equipment that still makes up a large part of the market.

This is a development to watch because China has been a major buyer of these older tools while trade restrictions blocked them from the newest tech. If Chinese chipmakers can buy these machines locally, it could eat into a significant portion of ASML's revenue. For now, ASML still holds a massive technical lead, but this marks the first real sign of a local rival emerging in a key region.

Source: Reuters

ASML
Company newsFor the record
Jul 20

Retention bonuses offered to keep staff through 2030

The company is offering a bonus of 20,000 euros to employees who remain with the firm between 2027 and 2030. This move highlights how fierce the competition for talent has become in the specialized world of chipmaking equipment. While this adds to the company's costs, keeping experienced engineers is vital. The machines they build are some of the most complex on earth, and losing that expertise to rivals or tech giants could slow down the development of the next generation of tools.

Source: Reuters

ASML
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 16

Wells Fargo raises its target to $2,500

Wells Fargo raised its price target for the stock from $2,200 to $2,500 while keeping its overweight rating, which is a recommendation that the stock should make up a larger part of a portfolio. This change suggests the firm sees about 50 percent more value in the stock than where it currently trades.

This move reflects confidence that the company will remain the primary gatekeeper for the AI industry. As chipmakers race to build more powerful hardware, they have little choice but to buy the expensive, one-of-a-kind machines that only this company can provide.

Source: Wells Fargo

ASML
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 16

Argus Research raises its target to $2,100

Argus Research raised its price target to $2,100 from $1,700. This is a significant jump that signals the firm believes the company's growth is accelerating faster than previously expected.

While the stock has recently faced some pressure, analysts often use these updates to show they believe the underlying business is stronger than the current stock price suggests. For a long-term owner, this is a sign that professional researchers still see a clear path for the company to grow into its high valuation.

Source: Argus Research

ASML analyst price targets

Analysts have recently issued a flurry of price target increases for ASML. Most analysts, 26 out of 45, rate the stock as a buy, and the average target price suggests a 35% gain from current levels.

Average target$2305.75+35%vs $1704.37 today
TodayAvg price
Low $2000High $2623
Buy45 analysts
3Bearish
16Neutral
26Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Argus Research
—
$1700→$2100
7/16/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$2200→$2500
7/16/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$2000
7/14/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$1971→$2623
7/6/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$1750→$2200
6/22/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$1625→$1700
4/16/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$1650→$1750
4/16/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$1625
1/29/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$1642→$1911
1/29/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$1528→$1642
1/22/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$1140→$1450
1/15/2026
KGI Securities
Outperform
$1415
1/15/2026

ASML earnings

The company has a habit of clearing the bar, beating profit estimates in six of the last eight quarters. This suggests management is conservative with its forecasts and the business is performing reliably.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$5.08$8.49$11.90Oct '24Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26nextOct '26

ASML past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$7.98$8.68+8.8%
Revenue$10.24B$10.67B+4.2%

Key highlights

  • Strong revenue outlook: The company expects next quarter sales between 9.4 billion euros and 9.9 billion euros, a step up from the 9.33 billion euros reported this quarter. This guidance suggests demand is holding firm as chipmakers prepare for the next generation of smaller, faster processors.
  • Profit margins widening: Gross margin, which is the percentage of sales left after paying for the direct costs of making machines, rose to 54.0% this quarter from 53.7% a year ago. This increase shows the company is managing its production costs effectively even as it scales up new technologies.
  • Service business accelerating: Service and field option sales grew 32% to 2.76 billion euros compared to the same period last year. This is a reliable stream of income that comes from maintaining the massive machines already installed at customer factories, providing a cushion when new machine orders fluctuate.
  • Machine deliveries increasing: The company sold 91 lithography systems this quarter, up from 76 systems in the same period last year. Selling more of these complex machines, which use light to etch patterns onto silicon, is the primary driver of the company's long term growth.
  • Research spending holding steady: Spending on research and development was 1.28 billion euros, representing about 14% of total sales. This consistent investment is necessary to maintain a monopoly on the advanced machines required to manufacture the world's most sophisticated artificial intelligence chips.

Our take: A very strong quarter that shows the recovery in the chip market is well underway. The combination of rising machine deliveries and higher profit margins proves the company is back in growth mode. This performance reinforces our view that its dominant position in chipmaking technology remains as solid as ever.

ASML’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
14
Expectation
EPS$11.74
Revenue$12.99B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
High-NA Orders
Receiving more than 10 firm orders for High-NA systems annually
First systems shipped in Q4 2024
Service Revenue
Growing service revenue above 12% annually
32% YoY in Q2 2026
Gross Margin
Maintaining a gross margin above 51%
54.0% in Q2 2026
ROIC
Keeping return on invested capital above 30%
34.9% in TTM

More ASML coverage from around the web

Watch and listen

ASML CEO on AI Demand, Data Centers in Space and Musk's Terafab

Bloomberg Television · Interview · Jun 17

ASML Raises Full-Year Outlook as AI Spending Grows

Bloomberg Television · Video · Jul 15

ASML Earnings "Couldn't be Any Better," How it Shakes Up Volatile AI Chip Trade

Schwab Network · Video · Jul 15

Reading

ASML: AI Litho-Density Supercycle Vs. Closed-Loop Chinese DUV Fleet

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 6

ASML: The Peak Is In

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 3

ASML, Lam Research, and a Ton of Other Stocks to Buy Right Now

Barrons · Jul 30

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) Price Forecast: Bullish Trend Faces Critical Support Test

FXEmpire · Jul 29

China's chip tool push shows ASML caught in US-China squeeze

Reuters · Jul 28

ASML, Sandisk, Apple, and More Stocks That Explain Today's Market

Barrons · Jul 28

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