Boeing fell about 3 percent today, its first drop after a sharp run-up earlier this week, and it now sits just below its high from yesterday. We think this is mostly just a breather after Monday's big jump, which was triggered by regulators finally clearing the 737 Max-7 to fly.
Our view
A record $715 billion backlog shows that airlines still depend on Boeing despite its recent struggles. If you already own it, the best move is to sit tight while the company works through its manufacturing fixes.
The Federal Aviation Administration, the agency that oversees flight safety in the U.S., has officially certified the 737 Max-7. This approval ends a nearly decade-long review process and allows the company to begin delivering the smallest version of its best-selling jet to airlines.
This is a major win because it clears a significant part of the company's multi-billion dollar order backlog. While it will take months for airlines to get these planes into their flight schedules, the certification removes a massive regulatory hurdle that has been weighing on the company's ability to generate cash.
BNP Paribas raised its rating on the stock from sell to buy, skipping the usual middle step of a hold rating. This kind of double upgrade is rare and suggests a sharp shift in how the firm views the company's path forward.
The move reflects a growing sense that the worst of the production and safety crises may be in the past. While the business still has a long way to go to reach its delivery targets, this shift from a major firm signals that the risk of further decline might be fading.
The company delivered the first of two 737 Max jets to Somon Air, the national carrier of Tajikistan. The planes are being leased through a third-party firm, Dubai Aerospace Enterprise, as the airline looks to expand its network. While a single delivery is a small part of the overall business, it shows that the company is continuing to move planes out of its inventory and into the hands of international customers. Every delivery helps the company chip away at its large backlog and bring in much-needed cash.
At the Farnborough Airshow, the industry's biggest annual event, the company narrowly beat its rival Airbus in total new plane orders. This is a key signal that airlines are still willing to commit to the company's jets despite its recent manufacturing struggles.
Winning the order tally at a major show is a vote of confidence in the new leadership. It suggests that the company's massive $500 billion backlog will continue to grow, providing a long-term safety net of work once production lines are fully stabilized.
Company newsWorth watching
Jul 31
WestJet parks 737 jets ahead of potential strike
WestJet has started parking its 737 jets because of a looming labor strike by its flight attendants. The airline is taking this step to avoid leaving passengers stranded if a work stoppage begins. This is a situation to watch because labor unrest at major airlines can lead to deferred maintenance or slower demand for new planes. For now, this is an issue specific to one customer, but it highlights the broader labor tensions currently affecting the entire aviation industry.
Analysts recently upgraded the stock and raised price targets following the FAA certification of the 737 MAX-7. Most analysts, 37 of 55, rate the stock a buy, with an average target price suggesting 19% upside from current levels.
Average target$275.83+19%vs $232.19 today
TodayAvg price
Low $250High $305
Buy55 analysts
5Bearish
13Neutral
37Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Tigress Financial
Buy
$295→$305
8/6/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$275→$265
7/29/2026
Robert W. Baird
—
$300
7/29/2026
BTG Pactual
Neutral
$260
7/14/2026
Tigress Financial
Buy
$290→$295
4/29/2026
Wolfe Research
—
$250→$275
4/23/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$245→$250
4/23/2026
Jefferies
Buy
$290→$295
2/1/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$265→$275
1/28/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$235→$245
1/28/2026
UBS
Buy
$275→$285
1/28/2026
Vertical Research
Buy
$281
1/27/2026
Boeing earnings
The results have been choppy lately, with a mix of beats and misses as the company navigates production delays. It makes the stock hard to predict in the short term.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Boeing past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$-0.34
$-0.76
-123.5%
Revenue
$24.26B
$24.56B
+1.2%
Key highlights
Cash flow turning positive: The company generated $631 million in free cash flow, which is the money left over after paying for operations and new equipment, compared to a $200 million loss in the same period last year. This return to positive cash flow is a vital step toward proving Boeing can fund its own recovery and start paying down its heavy debt load.
Commercial jet production rising: Boeing delivered 171 commercial airplanes in the quarter, an increase of 14% over the 150 planes delivered a year ago. Higher volume in the 737 program helped the commercial division narrow its operating loss to $322 million from $557 million last year.
Record order backlog: The total value of future work reached a record $715 billion, including orders for more than 6,200 commercial airplanes. This massive pile of future business shows that airline demand for new jets remains strong despite the company's recent production and regulatory challenges.
Defense segment losses continue: The defense and space division lost $15 million this quarter, weighed down by $280 million in extra costs on the VC-25B program, which is the project to build the new Air Force One. These losses highlight the ongoing struggle to manage fixed-price government contracts where Boeing must pay for any costs that go over the agreed budget.
Future production and certification: Management expects to deliver the first 737-7 and 737-10 jets in 2027, and it began raising the 737 production rate to 47 jets per month during the quarter. Getting these new models certified and moving more jets through the factory is the primary way the company plans to meet its long-term financial goals.
Our take: A encouraging quarter that shows the business is finally starting to stabilize. The return to positive free cash flow of $631 million is the most important signal, proving Boeing can still generate cash even while navigating heavy regulatory oversight. While defense losses remain a drag, the recovery in commercial deliveries keeps the long-term turnaround on track.
Boeing’s next earnings date
Q3 2026
OCT
28
Expectation
EPS
$-0.18
Revenue
$24.87B
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
737 Production Rate
Reaching and sustaining 38 jets per month in 2025
47 jets per month in Q2 2026
Free Cash Flow
Turning positive and exceeding $4 billion annually by 2026
$0.6B in Q2 2026
Net Debt
Decreasing toward $40 billion over the next three years