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The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which influences interest rates across the economy, rose to its highest point since 2002. This move came alongside a report showing the U.S. economy grew at a steady 2.2 percent pace in the second quarter.
For a custody bank like BNY Mellon, higher rates are usually a plus. It allows the firm to earn a larger spread between what it pays out to depositors and what it earns from investing that cash in safe government bonds and other assets.
Source: WSJ
Core inflation, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, came in higher than analysts expected for August. This makes it more likely that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates again to keep prices under control.
For a custody bank like BNY Mellon, interest rates are a double-edged sword. While higher rates can help the bank earn more on the cash it holds for clients, they can also cause the total value of assets it manages to drop as bond prices fall. If rates stay high for longer, it could also lead clients to move their cash into higher-yielding accounts, which leaves less profit for the bank.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
The Producer Price Index, which tracks what businesses pay for goods and services before they reach consumers, rose 0.4 percent in August. This was the largest monthly increase in three months, largely due to higher energy costs. At the same time, the number of people filing for unemployment benefits fell slightly to 206,000, suggesting the job market remains steady.
For a bank like BNY Mellon, these numbers are a mixed signal. Rising prices can sometimes lead to higher interest rates, which helps the bank earn more on the cash it holds for clients. However, if prices rise too fast, it can slow down the broader economy and reduce the volume of assets the bank manages and services.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Nonfarm payrolls, which measure how many jobs were added to the economy, rose by 162,000 while the unemployment rate stayed flat at 4.1 percent. For a custody bank like BNY Mellon, which manages and services assets for large institutions, a steady economy generally supports the volume of assets it handles. While this data shows the job market is holding up, it also gives the Federal Reserve more room to keep interest rates higher for longer to control inflation. Higher rates can be a double-edged sword for banks: they allow for more profit on loans and cash balances, but they can also slow down the broader market activity that drives the bank's fee income.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Federal Reserve official Beth Hammack stated that it is time for the central bank to begin raising interest rates. For a trust bank like BNY Mellon, which looks after trillions of dollars in assets for other institutions, higher rates are usually a benefit.
When rates rise, the bank can earn a wider spread on the cash it holds for clients. While higher rates can sometimes make the broader stock market nervous, BNY Mellon's specific business of managing and moving money tends to become more profitable when the cost of borrowing increases.
Source: CNBC
Management has beat expectations for eight straight quarters, often by wide margins. This suggests they are consistently underpromising and then letting the business outrun their own public forecasts.
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