Updated Aug 6 at 2:36pm ET.
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UBS significantly lowered its price target from $122 to $88 following the company's latest quarterly results. While the firm kept its buy rating, the 28 percent cut reflects a much more cautious view of how quickly the housing market will recover.
The analysts are likely adjusting for the fact that fewer new homes are being built, which reduces demand for lumber and building parts. Even with this lower target, the firm still sees the stock as a buy at its current price of roughly $73.
Source: UBS
The company reported a difficult quarter as a slowdown in new home construction hurt demand for building materials. Sales fell about 9 percent to $3.9 billion, and the company reported a small loss of $4 million compared to a healthy profit a year ago. A lower housing starts environment, which is the number of new home projects beginning in a given period, was the main reason for the drop.
Gross margin, the percentage of sales left after paying for the materials themselves, fell to 28.1 percent. This is a key number for the company because it shows whether they can keep prices steady when demand is weak. While the results were lower than analysts expected, the margin stayed above the 27 percent floor we look for to prove the business can remain profitable through a housing downturn.
See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did
Source: 8-K filing
Many analysts lowered their price targets for Builders FirstSource following the company's disappointing second-quarter earnings report. While 22 of 43 analysts still rate the stock a buy, the average target of $90 suggests a 23% upside from today's price.
The company has missed analyst expectations for three straight quarters. This suggests that the slowdown in the housing market is proving harder to navigate than even the experts anticipated.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $1.14 |
| Revenue | $3.78B |

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