Bitdeer fell about 2 percent today, its second straight down day, and has now lost nearly a quarter of its value over the last month. We think this is mostly about growing caution around the high cost of building AI data centers, which is overshadowing a massive new contract win.
Our view
A drop like this is no fun to sit through, but Bitdeer is one of the few players with the engineering talent to design its own chips. If you have been thinking about buying it, this lower price is a fair one to pay.
Federal Reserve officials monitor high levels of AI spending
Federal Reserve officials are beginning to track the high level of spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure to see if it is creating risks for the financial sector. This matters for Bitdeer because a large part of its future value depends on renting out data centers for AI workloads. If a shift in policy or a cooling of the market slows down this spending, it could make it harder for the company to find tenants for its massive new data center projects.
Cantor Fitzgerald set a price target of $18 for the company. This is well above the current price of about $11, though it is lower than the average analyst target of $24. The firm likely sees value in the company's shift from basic Bitcoin mining toward high-margin data center services for artificial intelligence.
Bitdeer signs $4.7 billion data center lease in Norway
Bitdeer signed a massive 16-year lease for its Norway data center that is expected to bring in about 4.7 billion dollars in revenue. The facility will house powerful chips used for artificial intelligence, known as GPUs, for a leading AI lab.
This is a major win because it proves the company can successfully rent out its infrastructure for high-performance computing. It provides a steady, long-term source of cash that is not tied to the volatile price of Bitcoin, making the business more predictable and valuable.
Industrial Alliance Securities raises target to $23
Industrial Alliance Securities raised its price target to $23, suggesting the stock could more than double from its current price. This move reflects growing confidence in the company's ability to build out its technology and infrastructure. It aligns with the broader analyst view that the company is undervalued as it expands into AI data centers.
Management will host a call to discuss the company's latest financial results and progress on its mining and AI infrastructure projects. This will be an important update to see how quickly the company is growing its mining power and whether its costs for building new data centers are staying under control.
Analysts recently adjusted their outlooks following the company's massive new data center lease deal. Most analysts, 9 out of 11, rate the stock a buy, and the average price target of $24 suggests 124% upside from today's price.
Average target$23.60+124%vs $10.52 today
TodayAvg price
Low $18High $30
Strong Buy11 analysts
0Bearish
2Neutral
9Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
$18
8/5/2026
Industrial Alliance Securities
—
$20→$23
8/4/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
$10
4/9/2026
Industrial Alliance Securities
—
$35→$20
2/17/2026
Needham
Buy
$30→$22
2/13/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$40→$30
2/12/2026
H.C. Wainwright
—
$25
2/12/2026
Northland Securities
Outperform
$35→$25
1/15/2026
Rosenblatt Securities
Buy
$5.90
1/14/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Neutral
$34
12/16/2025
H.C. Wainwright
—
$19→$32
10/29/2025
Coker Palmer
—
$38
10/20/2025
Bitdeer Technologies earnings
The company has missed analyst targets for several quarters in a row. This suggests that the high costs of building out its massive infrastructure are harder to predict than expected.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Bitdeer Technologies past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$-0.46
$-0.68
-48.1%
Revenue
$184M
$189M
+2.7%
Key highlights
Mining power expanding rapidly: The proprietary mining hashrate, which measures the computer power used to mine Bitcoin, grew to 65.1 EH/s from 11.5 EH/s a year ago. This massive increase in computing power helped the company mine 2,033 Bitcoins this quarter compared to only 350 in the same period last year.
Fleet efficiency improving: The company improved its fleet efficiency to 16.4 J/TH, which is better than the 29.0 J/TH recorded a year ago. A lower number means the company uses less electricity to generate mining power, which is critical for maintaining profitability as mining costs rise.
AI cloud business gaining speed: Revenue from the AI cloud business grew to $3.7 million from $1.4 million a year ago, and management noted the annualized run rate has now exceeded $69 million. This segment is a key part of the company's strategy to use its data centers for artificial intelligence work instead of just mining cryptocurrency.
Expanding global power capacity: Bitdeer now has a total global power portfolio of approximately 3.0 gigawatts, up from 1.7 gigawatts of currently electrical capacity. Securing these large amounts of electricity is the primary hurdle for building the massive data centers needed for both Bitcoin mining and AI computing.
Data center conversion outlook: Management expects to complete the conversion of several sites to AI data centers by Q4 2026, including the Tydal facility in Norway and the Wenatchee site in Washington. These projects are part of a broader plan to transition 1,744 megawatts of current electrical capacity toward higher value AI and colocation services.
Our take: Bitdeer is successfully scaling its mining power while making real progress in its transition to an AI infrastructure provider. While the net loss widened due to higher depreciation and electricity costs, the jump in annualized AI revenue to $69 million shows the strategy is working. This quarter reinforces the long term case for Bitdeer as a diversified computing power leader.
Bitdeer Technologies’s next earnings date
Q2 2026
AUG
10
Expectation
EPS
$-0.36
Revenue
$229M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Proprietary Hashrate
Growing above 60 EH/s by end of FY2026
65.1 EH/s in Q1 2026
Miner Efficiency
Staying below 18.0 J/TH across the entire fleet
16.4 J/TH in Q1 2026
AI Cloud Revenue
Reaching a $100M annual run rate within 24 months
$3.7M in Q1 2026
Hardware Sales Revenue
SEALMINER sales contributing at least 15% of total revenue
1.9% of revenue in Q1 2026
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