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CAVA

CAVA GroupCAVA

$61.77
Updated Aug 11, 2026
Quality Score
4.1
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Why CAVA Group stock moved?

Updated Aug 11 at 10:20am ET.

$61.77
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What's happening with the stock

CAVA fell about 1 percent today, its second straight down day, and now sits about 12 percent below its high from mid-July. We think this is mostly normal movement ahead of the company's earnings report this afternoon, as the broader market is quiet.

Our view

The business is growing fast and just turned profitable, but the stock price already assumes almost perfect execution for years to come. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and watch the expansion play out.

Read full thesis on CAVA Group

Latest CAVA Group updates

Follow CAVA Group to never miss an important update.

CAVA
EarningsFor the record
Aug 11

CAVA reports earnings today

CAVA reports its latest quarterly results today. Analysts expect the company to report about 360 million dollars in revenue and earnings of roughly 18 cents per share. While the company has a history of beating these estimates, the numbers themselves are often less important than the details behind them.

For a fast-growing chain like this, the two things that matter most are how many new customers are coming in and whether the profit from each restaurant stays high. We are watching to see if sales growth is coming from more people visiting rather than just higher prices, and if profit margins stay above 23 percent as the company continues its push toward 1,000 locations.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

CAVA
Analyst price updateFor the record
Aug 6

RBC Capital lowers its price target to $90

RBC Capital lowered its price target for the restaurant chain to $90. Even with the lower target, the firm still sees the stock as worth more than its current price of about $63.

Analysts use these targets to show what they think a stock will be worth in a year. While the cut reflects a more cautious view, it does not change the fact that the company is still growing its store count quickly and recently reached profitability for the first time.

Source: RBC Capital

CAVA
FilingFor the record
Aug 3

Amiee Bayer-Thomas joins the board of directors

The company officially filed notice that Amiee Bayer-Thomas has joined its board of directors. She currently serves as the Chief Retail Officer at Ulta Beauty. Adding a leader with deep experience in running a large network of retail stores is a logical move. The company is trying to more than double its footprint to 1,000 locations by 2032, and her background in managing thousands of beauty stores could help as they scale up their Mediterranean restaurant concept.

Source: 8-K filing

CAVA
Company newsFor the record
Jul 21

Second quarter results set for August 11

The company announced it will release its second quarter results on August 11. This will be an important check on whether the chain is maintaining its high profit margins as it opens new locations. Investors will be looking closely at two things: whether guest traffic is still the main reason for sales growth and if the average sales per restaurant are staying at or above 3 million dollars. These numbers prove whether the Mediterranean concept is working as well in new markets as it did in its early cities.

Source: Business Wire

CAVA
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 15

Morgan Stanley upgrades the stock to Overweight

Morgan Stanley upgraded the stock to its version of a buy rating. The firm set a price target of $90, suggesting they believe the stock has room to rise from its current level.

This upgrade reflects confidence in the company's ability to replicate the successful growth model used by other major fast-casual chains. The business is currently opening a new restaurant roughly every four days, and this move suggests analysts believe that rapid expansion can continue without hurting the company's profit margins.

Source: Morgan Stanley

CAVA Group analyst price targets

Analysts recently adjusted their expectations following a flurry of activity in late May and a series of upgrades throughout the summer. Most analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $93 suggests 51% upside.

Average target$93.06+51%vs $61.77 today
TodayAvg price
Low $74High $106
Strong Buy25 analysts
0Bearish
6Neutral
19Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
RBC Capital
Outperform
$105→$90
8/6/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$90
7/15/2026
Wolfe Research
—
$95
6/30/2026
UBS
Buy
$90
6/10/2026
Argus Research
Buy
$92
5/22/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$80→$84
5/22/2026
Telsey Advisory
Outperform
$92→$95
5/20/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$100→$105
5/20/2026
BMO Capital
—
$100
5/20/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$90→$105
5/20/2026
Robert W. Baird
Outperform
$88→$98
5/20/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$95
5/20/2026

CAVA Group earnings

The company has beaten analyst profit targets in six of the last eight quarters. This suggests management is disciplined about its costs and conservative with the numbers it shares with the public.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$0.03$0.13$0.22Aug '24Nov '24Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26nextAug '26

CAVA Group past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$0.17$0.20+17.6%
Revenue$361M$438M+21.6%

Key highlights

  • Guest traffic driving growth: Same restaurant sales, a measure of performance for locations open at least a year, grew 9.7% this quarter. This was fueled by a 6.8% increase in guest traffic, showing that more customers are choosing the brand even as many other restaurant chains struggle to keep people coming through the doors.
  • Restaurant margins staying flat: The profit margin at the restaurant level was 25.1%, which is exactly the same as it was one year ago. Higher costs for employee wages and third-party delivery orders offset the gains from having higher overall sales at each location.
  • New market expansion continues: The company opened 20 net new restaurants this quarter, entering new cities like Cincinnati and St. Louis. This brings the total count to 459 locations, which is 20.2% more restaurants than the company had at this time last year.
  • Average sales per store rising: Average yearly sales for each restaurant reached $3.0 million, up from $2.9 million in the same period last year. This steady increase in volume per store helps the company pay for its central office costs and new investments more efficiently.
  • Full year outlook raised: Management now expects same restaurant sales to grow between 4.5% and 6.5% for the full year, up from its previous forecast of 3.0% to 5.0%. The company also plans to open between 75 and 77 new restaurants in 2026, slightly higher than the 74 to 76 locations it predicted just three months ago.

Our take: This was an excellent quarter that proves the brand can grow even when the wider economy is uncertain. The 6.8% jump in guest traffic is the standout win, showing that customers are genuinely loyal rather than just paying higher prices. It solidifies the long-term case for a successful national rollout.

CAVA Group’s next earnings date

Q2 2026
AUG
11
Expectation
EPS$0.18
Revenue$360M

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Same-Store Sales
Staying above 5% annually for the next three years
9.7% in Q1 2026
Restaurant Margin
Maintaining 23% or higher at the restaurant level
25.1% in Q1 2026
Store Openings
Opening at least 70 net new restaurants per year
20 in Q1 2026
Guest Traffic
Traffic growth remaining positive and above 3%
6.8% in Q1 2026

More CAVA Group coverage from around the web

CAVA Appoints Amiee Bayer-Thomas to Board of Directors

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 3

CAVA to Announce Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results on August 11, 2026

Business Wire · Press release · Jul 21

CAVA Group: Expansion Remains On Track As Comps Improve

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 14

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