Clearthesis
Sign inSign up

Sign up free to access investment thesis for 500+ leading US stocks

AppleAppleMicrosoftMicrosoftNvidiaNvidiaAmazonAmazonAlphabetAlphabetMetaMetaTeslaTeslaBroadcomBroadcomAMDAMDTSMCTSMCArmArmQualcommQualcommMicronMicronMarvellMarvellOracleOracleAdobeAdobeSalesforceSalesforceServiceNowServiceNowCrowdStrikeCrowdStrikePalo AltoPalo AltoSpotifySpotifyCloudflareCloudflareShopifyShopifyVisaVisaMastercardMastercardRobinhoodRobinhoodCoinbaseCoinbasePalantirPalantirBerkshireBerkshireCostcoCostcoWalmartWalmartNetflixNetflixJPMorganJPMorgan
View all covered stocks →
Clearthesis
PrivacyTermsContact

© 2026 ClearThesis, Inc.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. ClearThesis is not a registered investment adviser.

CHRW

C.H. RobinsonCHRW

$146.66
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
3.6
Follow

Why C.H. Robinson stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 2:10pm ET.

$146.66
Loading…

What's happening with the stock

The stock fell about 3 percent today, its second straight down day, and is now nearly 30 percent below its July peak. We think this is mostly about rising oil prices and global shipping worries, which tend to weigh on freight brokers.

Our view

The company is successfully using automation to handle more freight with fewer people, which is the key to its long-term growth. If you already own it, the best move is to sit tight and let this technology shift play out.

Read full thesis on C.H. Robinson

Latest C.H. Robinson updates

Follow C.H. Robinson to never miss an important update.

CHRW
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 31

Stifel Nicolaus raises its target to $225

Stifel Nicolaus increased its price target from $215 to $225 while keeping a buy rating. This follows a quarterly report where the company managed to expand its profit margins despite a generally sluggish environment for moving goods. The firm is encouraged by the company's ability to take market share from competitors. By using more automation to handle shipments, the business is becoming more efficient, which should allow it to earn more from every dollar of revenue as the trucking industry eventually recovers.

Source: Stifel Nicolaus

CHRW
EarningsPositive
Jul 29

Profits beat expectations as automation efforts take hold

The company reported quarterly earnings of $1.61 per share, topping the $1.53 analysts expected. Revenue reached about 4.9 billion dollars, also coming in ahead of forecasts. These results are particularly notable because they happened while the broader trucking market remains in a slump, with fewer total shipments moving across the industry.

The business is successfully taking market share, with its shipping volumes growing about 1.5 percent while a key industry index fell over 3 percent. Management is using its Lean AI strategy to automate more of the work required to match shippers with trucks. This is helping the company keep its costs down and protect its profit per shipment even as the prices it pays for trucking services fluctuate. If the company can keep these efficiency gains, it will be in a much stronger position when the freight market eventually picks back up.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

C.H. Robinson analyst price targets

Analysts adjusted their price targets for C.H. Robinson following the company's recent quarterly earnings report. Most analysts remain positive, with 22 of 46 rating the stock a buy and an average target price suggesting 35% upside from today.

Average target$197.85+35%vs $146.66 today
TodayAvg price
Low $91High $237
Hold46 analysts
4Bearish
20Neutral
22Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$215→$225
7/31/2026
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$224→$237
7/30/2026
Wolfe Research
—
$225→$196
7/30/2026
Raymond James
Outperform
$192
7/30/2026
Janney Montgomery
—
$200→$155
7/28/2026
Robert W. Baird
Outperform
$230→$200
7/28/2026
Deutsche Bank
—
$200→$220
7/22/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$207→$215
7/15/2026
Susquehanna
Positive
$215→$226
7/14/2026
BMO Capital
Market Perform
$190
7/13/2026
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
$90→$91
7/6/2026
Raymond James
Outperform
$210→$203
7/2/2026

C.H. Robinson earnings

Management has beaten expectations for eight straight quarters, usually by a wide margin. This suggests they are under-promising and then consistently finding ways to be more efficient than analysts expect.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$1.04$1.35$1.66Oct '24Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26nextNov '26

C.H. Robinson past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$1.53$1.61+5.2%
Revenue$4.35B$4.93B+13.5%

Key highlights

  • Market share growth continuing: The company grew its North American shipping volume by 1.5% during the quarter while the broader market shipments fell by 3.3%. This marks the 13th consecutive quarter that the business has outperformed the industry average, suggesting it is successfully winning customers from smaller competitors during a tough period for freight.
  • Efficiency gains from automation: Average employee headcount dropped 10.8% compared to last year as the company used automated software to handle more tasks. These productivity improvements helped increase adjusted operating income by 19.5% even while the company faced higher costs to hire trucks in the spot market.
  • Air shipping profits surge: Profit in the air shipping division rose 23.4% because the company earned 33.5% more profit on every metric ton it shipped. This strong performance per order helped offset a 7.5% drop in the actual weight of goods moved through the air network.
  • Shareholder payouts increasing: The company returned $301.3 million to investors during the quarter, an 87.5% increase over the same period last year. This included spending $226.0 million to buy back its own stock and paying out $75.3 million in cash dividends.
  • Tax and spending outlook: Management expects the full year tax rate to be between 18% and 20% for 2026. The company also plans to spend between $65 million and $75 million on capital projects, such as equipment and technology, for the entire year.

Our take: This was a strong quarter that showed the company can grow profits even when the shipping market is weak. By using automation to lower its costs, the business expanded its margins significantly. These results reinforce the idea that the company is becoming more efficient and gaining valuable market share.

C.H. Robinson’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
NOV
4
Expectation
EPS$1.65
Revenue$4.85B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
NAST Volume Growth
Outperforming the Cass Freight Index by 200+ basis points
1.5% YoY in Q2 2026 vs -3.3% market
Adjusted Operating Margin
Reaching and staying above 30% in the NAST segment
40.9% in NAST (ex-restructuring) in Q2 2026
Personnel Expense as % of GP
Decreasing for four consecutive quarters
45.9% in Q2 2026
Cost of Hire Advantage
Maintaining a lower cost per mile than market spot rates
2.0% increase in profit per mile in Q2 2026

More C.H. Robinson coverage from around the web

C.H. Robinson to Participate in Deutsche Bank Industrials Summit

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 5

C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. (CHRW) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 29

C.H. Robinson Profit Rises as Higher Prices Boost Revenue

WSJ · Jul 29

C.H. Robinson Reports 2026 Second Quarter Results

Business Wire · Press release · Jul 29

Stay on top of C.H. Robinson

Follow C.H. Robinson to get the latest and most important updates.

Follow CHRW

On this page

Full thesisFollow CHRW