Updated Aug 6 at 2:26pm ET.
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Federal Reserve officials are beginning to question if the intense spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure is becoming excessive. This is a direct concern for companies like Cipher, which is pivoting its business to build the data centers that power these AI systems.
If the Fed views this spending as a risk to the financial system, it could lead to tighter lending or a cooling of the investment that Cipher relies on to fund its massive power projects. Since Cipher is currently spending heavily to convert its sites for AI use, any shift in how easily these projects are financed matters for the stock.
Source: Reuters
Morgan Stanley lowered its price target from $47 to $43.50. Even with the lower target, the firm still sees the stock as worth more than double its current price of about $19. This suggests that while the analyst is slightly more cautious, they still believe the company's shift into AI data center infrastructure will create significant value over time.
Source: Morgan Stanley
Cipher reported a loss of 65 cents per share, which was much wider than the 24 cents analysts expected. Revenue of $20 million also came in below the $30 million target. These numbers show the financial strain of moving away from Bitcoin mining and into the expensive business of building data centers for AI companies.
However, the company hit a major milestone by delivering capacity at its Black Pearl site two months early. It also secured an option for a new 900-megawatt site near San Antonio, which adds to its massive pipeline of power. For long-term owners, the widening losses are the cost of a high-stakes bet that its rare access to power will eventually lead to highly profitable leases with big tech firms.
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Source: 8-K filing
Chardan Capital set a price target of $32, signaling confidence in the company's strategy. This target is based on the value of Cipher's power pipeline as it shifts from crypto mining to AI hosting. It reflects a view that the company's infrastructure is worth significantly more than the stock's current price of about $19.
Source: Chardan Capital
The massive electricity needs of artificial intelligence are creating a shortage of available power. This has made the infrastructure owned by Bitcoin miners highly valuable, as they already have the heavy-duty electrical connections that AI data centers require.
For Cipher, this industry trend validates its pivot. The company is no longer just a crypto miner; it is an infrastructure provider in a market where its main asset, gigawatt-scale power, is in high demand and short supply.
The company has a choppy track record, missing expectations in three of the last four quarters. This suggests the business is still in a heavy spending phase that is hard to predict.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.24 |
| Revenue | $37M |

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