Clearthesis
Sign inSign up

Sign up free to access investment thesis for 500+ leading US stocks

AppleAppleMicrosoftMicrosoftNvidiaNvidiaAmazonAmazonAlphabetAlphabetMetaMetaTeslaTeslaBroadcomBroadcomAMDAMDTSMCTSMCArmArmQualcommQualcommMicronMicronMarvellMarvellOracleOracleAdobeAdobeSalesforceSalesforceServiceNowServiceNowCrowdStrikeCrowdStrikePalo AltoPalo AltoSpotifySpotifyCloudflareCloudflareShopifyShopifyVisaVisaMastercardMastercardRobinhoodRobinhoodCoinbaseCoinbasePalantirPalantirBerkshireBerkshireCostcoCostcoWalmartWalmartNetflixNetflixJPMorganJPMorgan
View all covered stocks →
Clearthesis
PrivacyTermsContact

© 2026 ClearThesis, Inc.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. ClearThesis is not a registered investment adviser.

COHR

CoherentCOHR

$379.13
Updated Aug 7, 2026
Quality Score
3.9
Follow

Why Coherent stock moved?

Updated Aug 7 at 5:05pm ET.

$379.13
Loading…

What's happening with the stock

The stock jumped about 15 percent today, extending a seven-day winning streak that has pushed the price to a new all-time high. We think this is mostly about anticipation for next week's earnings and a broader rush into companies that provide the networking parts for AI data centers.

Our view

The company is successfully shifting toward the high-end parts that power AI, but the stock price now reflects a lot of that future success. If you already own it, there's nothing to do here but sit tight and watch how the profit margins look next week.

Read full thesis on Coherent

Latest Coherent updates

Follow Coherent to never miss an important update.

COHR
EarningsFor the record
Aug 6

Earnings report set for August 12

Coherent is scheduled to report its quarterly and full-year results on Wednesday, August 12, after the market closes. Analysts are looking for revenue of about $1.98 billion and earnings of $1.62 per share. The company has a consistent track record of beating analyst expectations, having done so in each of the last eight quarters.

This report is particularly important as it will show how well the company is capturing demand for high-speed 800G and 1.6T connectors. These specialized parts are used to link AI computing clusters together and carry higher profit margins than the company's older industrial products. We will also be looking for updates on debt reduction and the progress of the new CEO's plan to streamline the business.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Coherent analyst price targets

Analysts have steadily raised their price targets throughout the year following a series of positive updates. Most of the 30 analysts rate the stock a buy, though the average target of $372 is slightly below the current price.

Average target$372.40-2%vs $379.13 today
Avg price
Low $230High $455
Strong Buy30 analysts
0Bearish
6Neutral
24Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Raymond James
Strong Buy
$371→$435
7/2/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$290→$330
5/7/2026
Northland Securities
Outperform
$170→$230
5/7/2026
Raymond James
Strong Buy
$243→$371
5/7/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$275→$412
5/5/2026
Redburn Partners
Buy
$455
5/1/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$250→$290
4/20/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$200→$250
2/23/2026
Northland Securities
Outperform
$125→$170
2/5/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$220→$235
2/5/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$215→$235
2/5/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$180→$190
1/30/2026

Coherent earnings

Management has a perfect record of clearing the bars they set, beating expectations for eight straight quarters. This suggests they are conservative with their targets and the business is consistently outrunning forecasts.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$0.57$1.11$1.65Aug '24Nov '24Feb '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Feb '26May '26nextAug '26

Coherent past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$1.40$1.41+0.7%
Revenue$1.78B$1.81B+1.3%

Key highlights

  • Strong revenue outlook: Management expects fourth quarter revenue to land between $1.91 billion and $2.05 billion, which would be an increase from the $1.81 billion reported this quarter as artificial intelligence demand remains robust. This guidance suggests the company is successfully scaling its manufacturing capacity to keep up with the rapid growth of datacenter infrastructure.
  • Datacenter demand surging: Revenue in the datacenter and communications segment grew 41% over last year to reach $1.36 billion, more than offsetting weakness in the industrial segment. This shift is critical because these high speed optical modules, which help move data through artificial intelligence networks, are becoming a much larger part of the overall business.
  • Profit margins expanding: Adjusted gross margin, which shows the profit left after manufacturing costs, reached 39.6% compared to 38.5% a year ago. The company is becoming more efficient as it shifts its sales mix toward more advanced products for the datacenter market.
  • Significant debt reduction: The company reduced its long term debt to $3.18 billion, down from $3.50 billion just nine months ago. Paying down this debt is a priority for the business to reduce interest costs and improve its overall financial flexibility.
  • Industrial segment decline: Revenue from industrial customers fell 16% compared to last year to $444 million. While the company is winning big in the artificial intelligence market, this decline shows that other parts of the business, like laser processing and precision manufacturing, are still facing a difficult environment.

Our take: This was an excellent quarter driven by the massive buildout of artificial intelligence infrastructure. The 41% growth in the datacenter division shows Coherent is a primary beneficiary of the AI trend, and rising profit margins prove it has pricing power. The strong outlook for next quarter confirms this momentum is still building.

Coherent’s next earnings date

Q4 2026
AUG
12
Expectation
EPS$1.62
Revenue$1.98B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Networking Gross Margin
Improving toward 42% over the next eight quarters
39.6% in Q3 2026
Total Debt Reduction
Paying down at least $500 million in debt annually
$313.8M in first nine months of FY2026
Transceiver Market Share
Maintaining above 25% share in 800G optical modules
Leading position in Datacom as of Q3 2026
Silicon Carbide Revenue
Growing at 20%+ annually for three consecutive years
Scaling production as of 2024

More Coherent coverage from around the web

Coherent: The Mix Flipped To AI Optics, Yet The Stock Keeps Falling

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 4

Coherent Corp. Announces Timing of FY2026 Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year-End Earnings Release

GlobeNewsWire · Press release · Jul 22

Coherent Named One of TIME's America's Best Companies 2026

Globe News Wire · Press release · Jul 13

Coherent's AI Selloff Is A Massive Opportunity

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 8

Stay on top of Coherent

Follow Coherent to get the latest and most important updates.

Follow COHR

On this page

Full thesisFollow COHR