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After Core Scientific's November results, we updated our fair value and cut our quality score to 3.4. We have added the cash spent on data center construction to what we track, which reached 985 million dollars this quarter. We also added the swing in value of the company's warrants to our watch list, because these accounting adjustments can change the reported net income by over a billion dollars. We raised our expectations for how much power the company will bill for after it reached 485 megawatts this quarter.
Core Scientific reported a profit of $0.47 per share, far better than the loss analysts expected. Revenue reached $230 million, driven by a 60 percent jump in colocation revenue, the money it earns from hosting other companies' computers in its data centers. The company is now billing for 485 megawatts of power, which translates to roughly $700 million in yearly revenue from these hosting contracts.
This result shows the company is successfully moving away from the unpredictable world of Bitcoin mining and toward becoming a steady infrastructure provider. By locking in long-term contracts for its power pipeline, it is building a more predictable business. While the stock fell today alongside a broader market drop, the underlying business is growing its high-margin revenue faster than anticipated.
See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did
Source: 8-K filing
After Core Scientific reported July results, we updated our fair value and cut our quality score to 3.7. We lowered our ratings for how the company defends against competitors and the profit it makes on its invested money. We added two new items to what we watch: the cost of ending old contracts and the impact of the changing value of the company’s warrants on its reported numbers. We also updated our projections to reflect leasing revenue now making up 83% of the business while the bitcoin mining segment loses money.
The company is scheduled to share its latest quarterly results on November 5. Analysts are looking for revenue of about 200 million dollars and a small loss per share of roughly 4 cents. The focus for this report will likely be on the progress of its transition from mining Bitcoin to hosting AI workloads. Investors will be watching for updates on its contract with CoreWeave and any new deals to convert its massive power pipeline into long-term hosting agreements.
Redburn Partners set a price target of $16 for the company. This is well below the average target of $33 set by other analysts who follow the stock. While the firm's target is lower than its peers, it still sits slightly above the current price of about $13.50.
Source: Redburn Partners
Management has missed its own targets for six straight quarters, often by wide margins. This suggests the business is moving faster than their forecasting can keep up with.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $0.01 |
| Revenue | $207M |
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