The stock is down about 0.3 percent today, a small dip that comes after a strong week-long run and leaves it sitting just below its recent high. We think this is mostly a reaction to oil prices rising today, which can squeeze airline profits by making jet fuel more expensive to buy.
Our view
Delta is successfully shifting its business toward high-paying travelers and loyalty revenue, which makes its profits much more stable than a typical airline. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and keep owning a leader in the sector.
Crude oil prices rose today following reports of a draft plan from Iran that would restrict ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global energy supplies. Higher oil prices translate directly into higher jet fuel costs, which are the largest and most volatile expense for any airline.
While Delta has been successful at passing higher costs to travelers through more expensive tickets, a sustained jump in fuel prices can eat into profit margins if fares cannot keep pace. This is a key risk to watch for a company that relies on steady fuel costs to meet its yearly profit goals.
Reports suggest that Iran and Oman are close to an agreement that would allow ships to move more freely through the Strait of Hormuz. This news follows a period of tension that had pushed oil prices higher. For Delta, any easing of tension in this region is helpful because it tends to stabilize global oil prices. Since fuel is such a large part of an airline's costs, more predictable energy markets make it easier for the company to manage its expenses and hit its profit targets.
CEO Ed Bastian sold approximately 19.2 million dollars worth of stock after exercising options to acquire shares. While the dollar amount is large, these types of sales are often planned in advance and frequently follow the exercise of stock options that were set to expire.
Large sales by a top executive can sometimes worry the market, but they are a routine part of how leaders at major companies are paid. This sale does not change our view of the company's health or its long-term strategy.
Company newsPositive
Jul 31
Boeing shows signs of recovery at major airshow
Boeing narrowly beat Airbus in total orders at the industry's biggest annual event, suggesting that airlines are regaining confidence in the American planemaker under its new leadership. A healthy Boeing is important for Delta, which relies on a steady supply of new, fuel-efficient aircraft to grow its fleet and keep maintenance costs down. When there is healthy competition between the two major plane manufacturers, airlines like Delta have more leverage to negotiate better prices and delivery schedules. This stability in the supply chain helps Delta plan its long-term growth more effectively.
ProductPositive
Jul 29
New in-flight sports partnership with DraftKings
Delta has teamed up with DraftKings to bring sports contests and entertainment to its in-flight screens. This is part of a broader push to make the flying experience more engaging and to give passengers reasons to choose Delta over other airlines. While this single partnership won't move the needle on total revenue, it supports Delta's strategy of being a premium travel brand. By offering better entertainment and unique perks, Delta can maintain the higher ticket prices that set it apart from low-cost competitors.
Delta Air Lines analyst price targets
Analysts have issued a flurry of price target increases throughout July as they grow more optimistic about the company. Nearly all 45 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $108 suggests 17% upside.
Average target$107.75+17%vs $91.98 today
TodayAvg price
Low $85High $125
Strong Buy45 analysts
0Bearish
8Neutral
37Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Argus Research
—
$100→$105
7/14/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
—
$112
7/14/2026
UBS
Buy
$107→$112
7/13/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$93→$106
7/13/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$115→$125
7/10/2026
Jefferies
Buy
$105→$110
7/10/2026
Susquehanna
Positive
$78→$108
7/7/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$105→$115
7/6/2026
Raymond James
Outperform
$104
7/6/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$80→$116
7/2/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$75→$105
6/30/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$85→$105
6/25/2026
Delta Air Lines earnings
The company has a very consistent track record, beating analyst profit targets in seven of the last eight quarters. This suggests management is doing an excellent job of managing costs and expectations.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Delta Air Lines past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$1.49
$1.56
+4.7%
Revenue
$17.43B
$19.76B
+13.4%
Key highlights
September quarter profit guidance: Delta expects to earn between $2.00 and $2.50 per share in the upcoming quarter, while revenue is projected to grow by mid-teens percentages compared to last year.
Loyalty program revenue climbing: Revenue from loyalty and related programs grew 19% to $1.34 billion, and remuneration from American Express reached $2.4 billion as cardholder spending rose for the seventh quarter in a row.
Premium product mix expands: Premium revenue grew 17% to $6.92 billion, now making up a larger share of the business as diverse, high-margin revenue streams reached 61% of total sales compared to 59% a year ago.
Fuel costs surging higher: Adjusted fuel expenses jumped 77% to $4.4 billion this quarter, driven by an average fuel price that rose to $3.93 per gallon from $2.25 in the same period last year.
Steady progress on debt: The company reduced its adjusted net debt to $13.6 billion, a drop of $709 million since the start of the year, as it works toward a target leverage ratio of 2.0.
Our take: A strong quarter that proves Delta can still grow its most profitable divisions even as fuel prices skyrocket. The 17% jump in premium revenue and record American Express payments show that the brand's core customers are spending more. This reinforces our view that Delta is successfully shifting from a commodity airline to a luxury brand.