Dell rose about 4 percent today, continuing a strong run that has kept the stock within reach of its all-time high. We think this is mostly the whole market rising after a weak jobs report made further interest rate hikes look less likely.
Our view
Dell is moving faster than its rivals to deliver the massive server systems needed for AI. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let this growth cycle play out.
Texas A&M selects Dell to build national AI research platform
Texas A&M Engineering Experiment Station has chosen Dell to build IGNITE, a specialized artificial intelligence and high-performance computing platform. This project, funded by the state, aims to support large-scale research in fields like national security and scientific discovery.
This win matters because it shows Dell is successfully capturing demand from the public sector and research institutions, not just private data centers. By providing the shared infrastructure for these complex projects, Dell cements its role as a primary partner for the specialized hardware needed to run advanced AI models.
Strong server demand at Super Micro lifts hardware peers
Preliminary financial results from Super Micro, a company that also builds servers for data centers, showed that demand for AI hardware is still climbing. This news helped lift shares of other hardware makers like Dell and HP Enterprise. For a long-term owner, this is a helpful read on the broader market. It suggests that the massive spending on AI infrastructure is not yet slowing down, which supports the idea that Dell can continue to grow its server backlog as more companies build out their data center capacity.
Hardware stocks fall as investors question AI valuations
Dell and other hardware makers saw their stock prices fall sharply as investors locked in gains from a long rally. The drop was partly triggered by reports that Meta Platforms might lease out its own extra AI computing power, which could eventually compete with the demand for new servers.
While a double-digit drop is never fun to sit through, this appears to be a shift in how the market is pricing these stocks rather than a change in Dell's actual business. The core question for the company remains whether it can hit its high targets for server revenue as the infrastructure buildout continues.
Evercore ISI set a price target of $500 for Dell, which is higher than the current average analyst target of $472. They maintained an outperform rating, which is their way of saying they expect the stock to do better than the broader market. While price targets are just one firm's estimate of what a stock might be worth in a year, this call reflects growing confidence in Dell's ability to profit from the AI infrastructure cycle. It aligns with our view that the company's scale in servers is becoming a major competitive edge.
Analysts issued a flurry of positive ratings and price target increases at the end of May. Most analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $472 suggests the price is fairly valued with 4% upside.
Average target$472.23+4%vs $453.77 today
Avg price
Low $270High $700
Buy45 analysts
2Bearish
17Neutral
26Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$500
7/8/2026
Truist Financial
Hold
$360
6/1/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$230→$500
6/1/2026
Mizuho Securities
Outperform
$435→$500
6/1/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$448
6/1/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$280→$500
6/1/2026
Argus Research
Buy
$200→$460
5/29/2026
Susquehanna
Positive
$289
5/29/2026
UBS
Neutral
$700
5/29/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$550
5/29/2026
UBS
Neutral
$440
5/29/2026
Melius Research
—
$565
5/29/2026
Dell Technologies earnings
The company has beaten expectations in seven of the last eight quarters. Management consistently sets a bar they can clear, often by a wide margin as AI demand outruns forecasts.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Dell Technologies past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$2.96
$4.86
+64.2%
Revenue
$35.74B
$43.84B
+22.7%
Key highlights
Massive AI server surge: Revenue from AI optimized servers grew 757% to $16.1 billion this quarter, showing how quickly the business is shifting toward high powered hardware for artificial intelligence. This division now makes up 55% of all infrastructure sales, a huge leap from just 18% a year ago.
Commercial PC demand rising: The segment that sells computers to businesses grew its revenue 18% to $13.0 billion as companies began updating their equipment for the upcoming PC refresh cycle. This is a critical profit driver for the company, as commercial computers often carry higher prices than consumer models.
Infrastructure profit margins climbing: Operating margin for the infrastructure group, which is the percentage of revenue kept as profit after paying for the costs of running the business, rose to 10.5% from 9.7% last year. While the business is selling more hardware, it is also becoming more efficient at managing the costs of those complex systems.
Strong cash returns: The company sent $2.1 billion back to investors this quarter through share buybacks and dividends, which is about half of the $4.1 billion in cash it generated from operations. This level of return suggests management is confident that the current growth in AI is producing real, spendable cash.
Major revenue forecast hike: Management raised its full year revenue outlook to a midpoint of $167 billion, which would be a 47% increase over last year. Within that total, the company expects $60 billion to come specifically from AI optimized servers as demand for data center hardware continues to accelerate.
Our take: This was an exceptional quarter that confirms the company is a primary winner in the shift to artificial intelligence. The 757% growth in AI server revenue is the standout figure, proving that demand is moving even faster than many expected. This result significantly strengthens the case for owning the stock as a long term infrastructure play.
Dell Technologies’s next earnings date
Q2 2027
SEP
3
Expectation
EPS
$4.88
Revenue
$44.84B
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
AI Server Revenue
Reaching a $60 billion annual run rate in FY2027
$16.1 billion in Q1 FY2027
Storage Revenue Growth
Returning to double-digit year-over-year growth by FY2027
8% year-over-year in Q1 FY2027
Commercial CSG Growth
Sustaining above 10% growth during the PC refresh cycle
18% year-over-year in Q1 FY2027
ISG Operating Margin
Expanding toward 12% as the AI server mix matures
10.5% in Q1 FY2027
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