Clearthesis
Sign inSign up

Sign up free to access investment thesis for 500+ leading US stocks

AppleAppleMicrosoftMicrosoftNvidiaNvidiaAmazonAmazonAlphabetAlphabetMetaMetaTeslaTeslaBroadcomBroadcomAMDAMDTSMCTSMCArmArmQualcommQualcommMicronMicronMarvellMarvellOracleOracleAdobeAdobeSalesforceSalesforceServiceNowServiceNowCrowdStrikeCrowdStrikePalo AltoPalo AltoSpotifySpotifyCloudflareCloudflareShopifyShopifyVisaVisaMastercardMastercardRobinhoodRobinhoodCoinbaseCoinbasePalantirPalantirBerkshireBerkshireCostcoCostcoWalmartWalmartNetflixNetflixJPMorganJPMorgan
View all covered stocks →
Clearthesis
PrivacyTermsContact

© 2026 ClearThesis, Inc.

For informational purposes only. Not investment advice. ClearThesis is not a registered investment adviser.

DPZ

Domino's PizzaDPZ

$358.43
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
4.4
Follow

Why Domino's Pizza stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 2:41pm ET.

$358.43
Loading…

What's happening with the stock

Domino's fell about 2 percent today, its second straight down day, but it remains about 17 percent higher than it was a month ago. We think this is mostly a normal pause after a big run, as there was no new company news to explain the drop.

Our view

While U.S. sales growth has slowed to nearly zero, the company is still opening hundreds of new stores globally and buying back its own shares. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that expansion play out.

Read full thesis on Domino's Pizza

Latest Domino's Pizza updates

Follow Domino's Pizza to never miss an important update.

DPZ
ProductFor the record
Aug 3

New website and app enter testing phase

The chain is paying customers five dollars toward their next order to test a redesigned website and mobile app. Digital orders are a major part of the business because they cost less to process than phone calls and help build a database of loyal customers. While a website update is routine, it shows the company is focused on its digital ecosystem, which is a key part of how it keeps costs down compared to smaller rivals.

Source: PRNewsWire

DPZ
Company newsFor the record
Jul 27

Summer promotion offers half-off pizzas

The company ran a nationwide promotion offering half off all pizzas for one week in late July. These types of deep discounts are a standard tool the chain uses to bring in new customers and boost order counts during slower periods. For a business that relies on high volume to keep its supply chain efficient, these promotions help maintain store traffic even when people are spending less on dining out.

Source: PRNewsWire

DPZ
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 21

BMO Capital sets $420 target after earnings

BMO Capital kept its positive rating on the stock and set a price target of 420 dollars. This suggests they see about 17 percent upside from where the stock is trading today.

While the recent earnings report was mixed, this call shows some analysts still believe in the company's ability to grow its store count and manage costs better than other fast-food chains.

Source: BMO Capital

DPZ
EarningsFor the record
Jul 20

Mixed results as store growth offsets weak U.S. sales

The company reported a mixed second quarter, with revenue of 1.19 billion dollars slightly beating expectations while earnings of 4.07 dollars per share fell short. The most concerning detail was U.S. same-store sales, which grew just 0.1 percent. This indicates that existing stores are barely selling more than they did a year ago as consumers pull back on spending.

However, the company continues to expand its footprint, opening 209 net new stores globally during the quarter. This aggressive expansion is vital because it helps the business grow even when individual store sales are flat. Management noted that total order counts are still growing, which is a key sign that the brand is not losing customers to rivals, even if those customers are spending less per visit.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

DPZ
Company newsFor the record
Jul 20

Technical issues delay earnings call

The company had to move its second-quarter earnings call to later in the morning due to technical problems with its webcast provider. While this was an inconvenience for analysts and investors trying to hear from management, it was a one-time issue with a vendor and does not reflect any problems with the business itself.

Source: PRNewsWire

Domino's Pizza analyst price targets

Analysts recently reaffirmed their positions following the company's second-quarter earnings report. Most analysts, 28 of 52, rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $399 suggests an 11% upside from the current price.

Average target$399.33+11%vs $358.43 today
TodayAvg price
Low $315High $540
Buy52 analysts
1Bearish
23Neutral
28Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
BMO Capital
Outperform
$420
7/21/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$350→$325
7/16/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$395→$370
7/15/2026
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$350
7/9/2026
UBS
Buy
$425→$375
7/2/2026
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
$325
6/23/2026
Robert W. Baird
Outperform
$400→$350
6/23/2026
UBS
Buy
$480→$425
4/28/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$430→$395
4/28/2026
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
$400→$350
4/28/2026
Mizuho Securities
Outperform
$470→$420
4/28/2026
Bernstein
—
$470→$390
4/28/2026

Domino's Pizza earnings

Management has missed analyst profit targets for three quarters in a row. This suggests the bar might still be a little too high as the company deals with slower demand for delivery.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$3.61$4.51$5.42Oct '24Feb '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26nextOct '26

Domino's Pizza past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$4.17$4.07-2.4%
Revenue$1.18B$1.19B+1.3%

Key highlights

  • US sales growth stalls: Same store sales in the US, which tracks performance at locations open at least a year, grew by just 0.1% this quarter. This is a sharp drop from the 3.4% growth seen in the same period last year and shows the company is struggling to increase spending at existing locations.
  • Store expansion continues: The company added 209 net new stores globally this quarter, which helps offset the slower sales growth at older locations. This expansion included 183 new international spots and 26 in the US, bringing the total global store count to 22,531.
  • Supply chain margins steady: The margin for the division that supplies dough and ingredients to stores rose to 12.0%, up from 11.8% a year ago. Productivity gains in how the company buys and moves goods helped protect profits even as the cost of the food basket, the price of ingredients the company sells to its stores, rose 2.2%.
  • Cash returns to owners: Domino's spent $156.2 million to buy back its own shares this quarter and declared a quarterly dividend of $1.99 per share. These moves return cash to shareholders, though free cash flow for the first half of the year fell 5.5% to $313.6 million due to the timing of advertising payments.
  • Management outlook: The company expects its food basket pricing to rise 2.2% for the quarter, and it continues to operate within its historical leverage ratio of four to six times. This debt level, which currently sits at 4.3 times its earnings before interest and taxes, is how management balances funding new growth while returning cash to investors.

Our take: This was a soft quarter defined by nearly flat sales at existing US stores. While the company is still successfully opening new locations at a steady clip, the 0.1% growth in established stores suggests it is getting harder to win more business from current customers, which creates a drag on the long-term growth story.

Domino's Pizza’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
13
Expectation
EPS$4.38
Revenue$1.17B
SEP
15
Dividend payday
  • Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
US Same Store Sales
Growing above 1.5% annually to outpace inflation
+0.1% in Q2 2026
Global Net Store Growth
Adding at least 150 net new stores per quarter
209 net stores in Q2 2026
Supply Chain Gross Margin
Staying above 12% through procurement efficiency
12.0% in Q2 2026
Digital Order Mix
Reaching 85% of total US sales through digital channels
85%+ of US sales in 2025
Return on Invested Capital
Staying above 50% on a TTM basis
58.1% as of Q1 2026

More Domino's Pizza coverage from around the web

Domino's® is Paying Customers to Beta Test Its New Website and App

PRNewsWire · Press release · Aug 3

Domino's® Serves Up Summer Savings: All Menu-Priced Pizzas Are 50% Off July 27-Aug. 2

PRNewsWire · Press release · Jul 27

Domino's Pizza: More Orders, Less Ticket, Same Hold

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 21

Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 20

AMC Jumps on Earnings Beat; Domino's Moves on Diner Pullback | Stock Movers

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · Video · Jul 20

Domino's Pizza shares rise as quarterly revenue tops estimates

Proactive Investors · Jul 20

Stay on top of Domino's Pizza

Follow Domino's Pizza to get the latest and most important updates.

Follow DPZ

On this page

Full thesisFollow DPZ