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FERG

FergusonFERG

$244.94
Updated Aug 16, 2026
Quality Score
4.0
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Why Ferguson stock moved?

Updated Aug 15 at 11:30pm ET.

$244.94
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What's happening with the stock

Ferguson fell about 1 percent today, its fifth straight down day, and has now given back most of the gains it made earlier this month. We think this is mostly the stock cooling off after a big run-up, as the initial excitement over joining the S&P 500 and a solid earnings report has started to fade.

Our view

Ferguson is successfully growing its lead in a fragmented market by buying up smaller rivals and using its massive scale to keep profit margins high. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that consolidation strategy play out.

Read full thesis on Ferguson

Latest Ferguson updates

Follow Ferguson to never miss an important update.

FERG
FilingFor the record
Aug 11

Ferguson plc filed an important update with the SEC

SEC filing on 2026-08-11: 8-K, 8-K filing: entered a material agreement; took on new debt or obligations.

Source: 8-K filing

FERG
Analyst price updatePositive
Aug 11

Bernstein keeps its outperform rating and sets a 325 dollar target

Bernstein analysts reaffirmed their outperform rating, which means they expect the stock to do better than the broader market. They set a price target of 325 dollars, suggesting they see significant room for the stock to rise from its current level of about 245 dollars.

This call signals confidence in the company's ability to grow despite a slow housing market. It also reflects a belief that the company's scale and its recent move into the S&P 500 will continue to attract more buyers.

Source: Bernstein

FERG
Analyst price updatePositive
Aug 11

Barclays raises its price target to 313 dollars

Barclays raised its price target from 297 dollars to 313 dollars while keeping an overweight rating, which is their version of a buy recommendation. The move follows a quarter where the company beat expectations and raised its outlook for the full year.

Analysts at major firms like Barclays often adjust their targets after earnings to reflect new data. This increase shows they are becoming more optimistic about the company's profit growth as it continues to buy up smaller distributors in the plumbing and heating market.

Source: Barclays

FERG
Company newsFor the record
Aug 11

Ferguson borrows 1.2 billion dollars through new bond offering

Ferguson priced a public offering of 1.2 billion dollars in senior unsecured notes, which are bonds that are not backed by specific collateral. The debt is split between 700 million dollars due in 2029 and 500 million dollars due in 2036.

This move helps the company manage its cash and fund its ongoing strategy of buying smaller rivals. While it adds to the company's total debt, the interest rates of 4.8 percent and 5.6 percent are reasonable for a business of this size and stability.

Source: Business Wire

FERG
EarningsPositive
Aug 10

Ferguson beats expectations and raises full-year outlook

Ferguson earned 3.39 dollars per share on an adjusted basis, beating the 3.30 dollars that analysts were looking for. Sales rose nearly 5 percent to 8.8 billion dollars, driven by strong demand from commercial projects and a return to growth in residential work.

The company also raised its full-year guidance, signaling that it expects the rest of the year to be stronger than it previously thought. It continues to use its cash to buy smaller competitors, completing five acquisitions this quarter and signing a deal for FloWorks, a specialist in industrial parts. This strategy helps the company grow even when the overall construction market is slow.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

Ferguson analyst price targets

Analysts recently raised their price targets for Ferguson following the company's better-than-expected quarterly earnings report. Most analysts, 13 of 17, rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $292 suggests a 19% upside from today's price.

Average target$291.67+19%vs $244.94 today
TodayAvg price
Low $256High $325
Strong Buy17 analysts
0Bearish
4Neutral
13Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
RBC Capital
Outperform
$281→$290
8/11/2026
UBS
Neutral
$252→$256
8/11/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$280→$288
8/11/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$325
8/11/2026
Robert W. Baird
Outperform
$285→$288
8/11/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$297→$313
8/11/2026
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
$265
7/6/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$295→$297
5/8/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$271→$281
5/6/2026
Truist Financial
Buy
$260→$300
2/25/2026
Jefferies
Buy
$300
2/24/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$247→$271
2/24/2026

Ferguson earnings

Management has a reliable habit of clearing the bars set for them, beating analyst profit estimates in five of the last eight quarters.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$1.47$2.50$3.53Sep '24Dec '24Mar '25Jun '25Sep '25Dec '25Feb '26Aug '26nextNov '26

Ferguson past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$3.30$3.39+2.7%
Revenue$8.68B$8.75B+0.8%

Key highlights

  • Full year outlook raised: Management increased their sales forecast to mid-single digit growth for the 2026 calendar year, up from previous expectations for low to mid-single digit growth. They also narrowed their predicted operating margin, a measure of how efficiently the company runs its daily business, to a range between 9.5% and 9.8%.
  • Non-residential growth accelerates: Revenue from large construction and infrastructure projects rose 8%, showing that the company is successfully winning more business in a mixed economic environment. This part of the business benefited from a healthy backlog of open orders and high interest in new commercial project bids.
  • Residential markets returning to growth: The company saw a 2% increase in residential sales even though the broader housing market remains slow with weak new construction and soft home repair activity. This performance shows the business is gaining market share against smaller competitors during a period of low demand for home building and improvements.
  • Acquisition pace quickening: Ferguson spent $573 million on five acquisitions this quarter and signed a deal for another firm, FloWorks, which is a major distributor of industrial valves. These combined deals are expected to add approximately $1.4 billion in yearly revenue to the business, helping the company expand into specialized technical equipment markets.
  • Operating margin slight dip: Adjusted operating margins fell to 10.7% from 10.8% a year ago, as the company faced tougher comparisons to a period when supplier price hikes were unusually high. Despite this 10 basis point drop, the company managed to keep profits steady by controlling administrative costs while still funding new growth initiatives.

Our take: This was a strong quarter that showed the company can grow even when the housing market is stuck in a rut. Raising the full year outlook while reporting 8% growth in commercial projects confirms the business has momentum. These results reinforce the case for a stable, long-term investment.

Ferguson’s next earnings date

Q1 2027
NOV
5
Expectation
EPS$3.32
Revenue$8.71B
AUG
21
Dividend payday
  • Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Non-Residential Revenue Growth
Staying above 6% annually through the current transition period
8% in Q4 2026
Adjusted Operating Margin
Holding between 9.5% and 9.8% for the full year
10.7% in Q4 2026
Acquisition Revenue Contribution
Adding at least $1 billion in annualized revenue from M&A deals
$1.4B annualized in Q4 2026
Residential Outperformance
Growing revenue at least 2% above the broader residential market index
2% growth in Q4 2026

More Ferguson coverage from around the web

Ferguson Prices $1.2 Billion of Senior Unsecured Notes

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 11

Ferguson Enterprises Inc. (FERG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 10

Ferguson Beats Earnings Estimates and Narrows Full-Year Sales Guidance

Barrons · Aug 10

Ferguson Reports Second Quarter Ended June 30, 2026

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 10

Ferguson Added to S&P 500 and the Plumbing Stock Pops. Where It Can Go Next.

Barrons · Aug 3

Ferguson Enterprises Set to Join S&P 500 and ADI Global Distribution to Join S&P SmallCap 600

PRNewsWire · Press release · Jul 31

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