The stock rose about 6 percent today and is now back within 2 percent of its recent high after a few weeks of drifting sideways. We think this is mostly about growing interest in the companies that build power gear for AI data centers, which helped Forgent stand out on a quiet day for the broader market.
Our view
Forgent has a massive $2 billion backlog of orders that are already signed, which gives us a lot of confidence in its growth for next year. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that order book turn into revenue.
Industrial giants pivot to compete in data center power market
Major industrial companies are moving into the market for power equipment, a space where Forgent has recently thrived. These larger rivals are looking to capture the same surge in demand for data center infrastructure that has fueled Forgent's recent growth.
Forgent has a lead because it can deliver custom systems faster than traditional giants. However, the entry of competitors with massive manufacturing scale could eventually test that advantage or make it harder to win new contracts.
Analysts recently raised their price targets following a series of public stock offerings by the company. Five of the six analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $56 suggests a 42% increase from today's price.
Average target$56.44+42%vs $39.66 today
TodayAvg price
Low $48High $63
Strong Buy6 analysts
0Bearish
1Neutral
5Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Robert W. Baird
Outperform
$55
7/15/2026
Wolfe Research
—
$54→$60
7/9/2026
Jefferies
—
$44→$56
5/29/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$38→$51
5/17/2026
TD Securities
—
$45→$63
5/15/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$43→$60
5/15/2026
KeyBanc
Overweight
$41→$60
5/15/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$44→$55
5/15/2026
Wolfe Research
—
$48
3/2/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$48
3/2/2026
Jefferies
—
$44
3/2/2026
Forgent Power Solutions earnings
The company has cleared its profit targets two quarters in a row. Management seems to have a good handle on its costs even as it scales up production quickly.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Forgent Power Solutions past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$0.16
$0.18
+13.6%
Revenue
$330M
$379M
+14.9%
Key highlights
Explosive order growth: New orders rose 308% to $867 million this quarter, and the company is now winning $2.30 in new business for every $1.00 of product it ships. This massive demand shows that data centers and power grid operators are choosing Forgent for their expansion projects over larger competitors.
Record work backlog: The total value of signed contracts waiting to be completed reached $1.98 billion, a 157% increase from the same time last year. This provides significant visibility into future revenue since the company is already fully booked for its upcoming fourth quarter.
Profit margins improving: Adjusted EBITDA margin, which measures profit after operating costs but before certain expenses like taxes, rose to 22.4% from 20.4% in the previous three month period. Management expects this to keep climbing as the company gets better at balancing its fast hiring with its higher production volumes.
Manufacturing expansion on track: The company spent $28 million this quarter on building new factories, and expects this expansion to be mostly finished by the end of 2026. Once these sites are fully running, Forgent believes it will have the physical space to support $5 billion in yearly sales, which is nearly four times its current revenue pace.
Higher full year outlook: Management raised its full year revenue forecast to a range of $1,350 million to $1,390 million, which would be 82% growth over last year. They also expect adjusted EBITDA, a measure of operating cash profit, to reach between $310 million and $320 million for the year.
Our take: A very strong quarter that confirms Forgent is a primary winner in the build out of data centers and power infrastructure. The 308% jump in new orders is the standout figure, proving that the company can maintain its hyper growth even as it gets larger. This performance strengthens the case that Forgent is successfully scaling into a much bigger business.
Forgent Power Solutions’s next earnings date
Q4 2025
SEP
2
Expectation
EPS
$0.24
Revenue
$430M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Total Backlog
Growing or sustaining above $1.8 billion
$1.98 billion in Q3 FY2026
Book-to-Bill Ratio
Staying above 1.5x during the current capacity expansion
2.3x in Q3 FY2026
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Reaching and sustaining above 23% by late 2026
22.4% in Q3 FY2026
Revenue Growth
Sustaining above 50% year-over-year as capacity increases
103% YoY in Q3 FY2026
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