Updated Aug 14 at 4:02pm ET.
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Genius Sports brought in 200 million dollars in revenue last quarter, coming in ahead of the 180 million dollars analysts expected. While the company reported a loss of 28 cents per share, the underlying business is showing better momentum than planned. Management raised its full-year outlook, signaling that the company is successfully turning its sports data into higher sales.
The business is benefiting from years of spending on its data infrastructure. Advertisers are paying more to reach sports fans using official league data, and new prediction markets are creating fresh sources of growth. This performance supports the idea that as the betting and media industries grow, Genius can capture more revenue without needing to spend much more on its fixed data rights.
The company reports its second quarter results today. Analysts expect a loss of about 6 cents per share on revenue of roughly 180 million dollars.
Beyond the headline numbers, the most important thing to watch is the company's progress toward its goal of turning 28 percent of its revenue into profit. Since Genius Sports has already reached the point where it brings in more cash than it spends, investors will be looking for signs that its high-profile data deals with leagues like the NFL are becoming more profitable as the business grows.
Genius Sports has signed a deal to provide official soccer data and integrity services to Kalshi, a platform where people trade on the outcomes of real-world events. The agreement also includes marketing and media services to help Kalshi reach sports fans.
This partnership shows how Genius can sell its sports data to industries beyond traditional betting apps. By acting as the official data source for a financial exchange, the company is finding new ways to earn money from the expensive data rights it already owns.
Source: Business Wire
Genius Sports is expanding its deal with Polymarket to include exclusive live match streaming and official data for certain sports competitions. This allows users of the prediction platform to watch games directly while they participate in the market.
This is another example of Genius Sports using its exclusive rights to act as a gatekeeper. By providing the technology and the video feeds that others cannot legally access elsewhere, the company makes its services more essential to the growing prediction market industry.
Source: Business Wire
Oppenheimer raised its price target for Genius Sports from 9 dollars to 10 dollars while keeping an Outperform rating, which means they expect the stock to do better than the broader market. This new target is about 20 percent higher than the current stock price. The move suggests growing confidence in the company's ability to grow its profits as it enters the second half of the year.
Source: Oppenheimer
Analysts recently raised their price targets following the company's strong second-quarter earnings report. Most analysts, 17 out of 19, rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $10 suggests a 15% increase from today's price.
The company has a history of reporting losses even when revenue grows, but the most recent quarter showed a massive jump in sales that suggests the business is finally hitting its stride.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $-0.01 |
| Revenue | $261M |

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CNBC · Aug 6

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 6

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 5
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