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GENI

Genius SportsGENI

$8.38
Updated Aug 14, 2026
Quality Score
4.4
Follow

Why Genius Sports stock moved?

Updated Aug 14 at 4:02pm ET.

$8.38
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What's happening with the stock

Genius Sports rose about 4 percent today, its second straight day of gains, and is now trading at its highest level in over a year. We think this is mostly continued momentum from last week's report showing revenue grew 65 percent as the company expands into higher-margin advertising services.

Our view

The business is successfully turning its exclusive sports data into high-margin advertising revenue, which is the key to its long-term value. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that growth play out.

Read full thesis on Genius Sports

Latest Genius Sports updates

Follow Genius Sports to never miss an important update.

GENI
EarningsPositive
Aug 6

Revenue beats expectations as full-year outlook rises

Genius Sports brought in 200 million dollars in revenue last quarter, coming in ahead of the 180 million dollars analysts expected. While the company reported a loss of 28 cents per share, the underlying business is showing better momentum than planned. Management raised its full-year outlook, signaling that the company is successfully turning its sports data into higher sales.

The business is benefiting from years of spending on its data infrastructure. Advertisers are paying more to reach sports fans using official league data, and new prediction markets are creating fresh sources of growth. This performance supports the idea that as the betting and media industries grow, Genius can capture more revenue without needing to spend much more on its fixed data rights.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

GENI
EarningsFor the record
Aug 6

Second quarter results arrive today

The company reports its second quarter results today. Analysts expect a loss of about 6 cents per share on revenue of roughly 180 million dollars.

Beyond the headline numbers, the most important thing to watch is the company's progress toward its goal of turning 28 percent of its revenue into profit. Since Genius Sports has already reached the point where it brings in more cash than it spends, investors will be looking for signs that its high-profile data deals with leagues like the NFL are becoming more profitable as the business grows.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

GENI
Company newsPositive
Aug 5

New data and media partnership with Kalshi

Genius Sports has signed a deal to provide official soccer data and integrity services to Kalshi, a platform where people trade on the outcomes of real-world events. The agreement also includes marketing and media services to help Kalshi reach sports fans.

This partnership shows how Genius can sell its sports data to industries beyond traditional betting apps. By acting as the official data source for a financial exchange, the company is finding new ways to earn money from the expensive data rights it already owns.

Source: Business Wire

GENI
Company newsPositive
Aug 4

Expanded partnership with Polymarket

Genius Sports is expanding its deal with Polymarket to include exclusive live match streaming and official data for certain sports competitions. This allows users of the prediction platform to watch games directly while they participate in the market.

This is another example of Genius Sports using its exclusive rights to act as a gatekeeper. By providing the technology and the video feeds that others cannot legally access elsewhere, the company makes its services more essential to the growing prediction market industry.

Source: Business Wire

GENI
Analyst price updatePositive
Jul 31

Oppenheimer raises price target to $10

Oppenheimer raised its price target for Genius Sports from 9 dollars to 10 dollars while keeping an Outperform rating, which means they expect the stock to do better than the broader market. This new target is about 20 percent higher than the current stock price. The move suggests growing confidence in the company's ability to grow its profits as it enters the second half of the year.

Source: Oppenheimer

Genius Sports analyst price targets

Analysts recently raised their price targets following the company's strong second-quarter earnings report. Most analysts, 17 out of 19, rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $10 suggests a 15% increase from today's price.

Average target$9.50+13%vs $8.38 today
Avg price
Low $5High $12
Strong Buy19 analysts
0Bearish
2Neutral
17Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Needham
Buy
$12
8/7/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$9.50→$10.50
8/7/2026
Roth Capital
—
$10→$12
8/7/2026
Guggenheim
Buy
$12
8/6/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$9→$10
7/31/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$9.50
7/27/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$9→$8
7/20/2026
Deutsche Bank
Buy
$10
5/11/2026
Needham
Buy
$14→$10
5/8/2026
Roth Capital
—
$12→$10
5/8/2026
BTIG
Buy
$10→$9
5/8/2026
Truist Financial
Buy
$13→$10
4/21/2026

Genius Sports earnings

The company has a history of reporting losses even when revenue grows, but the most recent quarter showed a massive jump in sales that suggests the business is finally hitting its stride.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$-0.29$-0.08$0.14Nov '24Mar '25May '25Aug '25Nov '25Mar '26May '26Aug '26nextNov '26

Genius Sports past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$-0.07$-0.28-306.2%
Revenue$184M$196M+6.0%

Key highlights

  • Massive media segment leap: Revenue from media technology and services grew 193% to $78.2 million, largely due to the $844.4 million acquisition of the Legend digital sports network. This jump means media now makes up 40% of total company revenue, up from 22% just three months ago, shifting the business toward advertising and away from its traditional reliance on betting data.
  • Betting technology growth holds: The core betting division grew revenue 28% to $117.4 million, fueled by higher demand for sports data and in-game betting services. This marks a full year of staying above the 25% growth target, proving the company can still find new customers even as it integrates its new media properties.
  • Profitability outlook raised: Management expects full-year revenue to reach a range of $825 million to $850 million, a sharp increase from the $480 million to $500 million predicted earlier this year. Raising the floor of expectations suggests the Legend acquisition is adding immediate scale to the business that should carry through the rest of 2026.
  • Losses widen on acquisition costs: The company reported a net loss of $76.7 million for the quarter, compared to a $53.9 million loss a year ago. Most of this was driven by $28.9 million in one-time costs to close the Legend deal, plus $14.5 million in immediate compensation payments to the employees of the newly acquired business.
  • Contract backlog strengthens: The amount of future revenue already under contract, known as remaining performance obligations, rose to $634.7 million. This is a $99.7 million increase from the $535 million reported last quarter, giving the company better visibility into its income for the next 13 to 78 months.

Our take: This was a transformational quarter that fundamentally changed the shape of the business. The Legend acquisition pushed media revenue to 40% of the total, providing the scale needed to hit aggressive profit targets. While the reported loss looks heavy, it is mostly due to one-time deal costs, leaving the long-term case for growth fully intact.

Genius Sports’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
NOV
3
Expectation
EPS$-0.01
Revenue$261M

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Betting Revenue Growth
Growing above 25% YoY for consecutive quarters
28% YoY in Q2 2026
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Reaching 28% for the full year 2026
12.8% in Q1 2026
Media Segment Mix
Media revenue reaching 30% of the total mix
40% of total revenue in Q2 2026
Contract Backlog
Remaining performance obligations staying above $500 million
$634.7 million as of Q2 2026

More Genius Sports coverage from around the web

Genius Sports Limited (GENI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 6

Genius Sports' media surge shows shift beyond sportsbook data

CNBC · Aug 6

Genius Sports Beats Second Quarter Guidance and Raises Full-Year Outlook

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 6

Genius Sports and Kalshi Strike Major Official Data, Media and Integrity Partnership

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 5

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