Gold.com fell about 3 percent today, its first sharp drop after a week of drifting sideways, and now sits about 4 percent below its recent high. We think this is mostly ordinary movement, as there was no company news and the broader market was flat.
Our view
The company owns some of the most productive mines in the world and is keeping its costs well under control. If you already own it, there's nothing to do here but sit tight.
Oil prices rise on potential shipping restrictions in the Middle East
Crude oil prices rose after Iranian state news published a draft plan for restrictive conditions on ships moving through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway is a critical path for global oil shipments.
For a mining company like Barrick Gold, higher oil prices usually mean higher costs to run the heavy machinery and trucks needed to move tons of rock. If these shipping restrictions lead to a lasting jump in energy prices, it could eat into the profit Barrick makes on every ounce of gold it digs up.
Potential deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz reaches final stages
Reports indicate that Iran and Oman are in the final stages of a deal to partially reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This follows earlier concerns about shipping restrictions that had pushed energy prices higher. Stable shipping lanes help keep energy costs predictable. Since mining is an energy-intensive business, any move that prevents a spike in oil prices helps Barrick Gold keep its operating costs under control.
Analysts have steadily raised their price targets for this stock over the past year. Most analysts, 19 of 34, rate it a buy with an average target of $61, which suggests the price could rise by 45%.
Average target$61+45%vs $42.02 today
TodayAvg price
Low $52High $70
Buy34 analysts
1Bearish
14Neutral
19Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Canaccord Genuity
Buy
$70
6/9/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$55→$52
5/7/2026
Northland Securities
Outperform
$57
2/6/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$50→$60
1/28/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$45→$53
1/27/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$40→$50
1/16/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$34
11/17/2025
B.Riley Financial
Buy
$44
9/20/2024
D.A. Davidson
—
$42→$47
9/5/2024
B.Riley Financial
Buy
$33
5/15/2024
D.A. Davidson
—
$44
4/10/2024
Northland Securities
Outperform
$56
2/7/2023
Barrick Gold earnings
The company has beaten expectations for three straight quarters, including a massive jump in profits last May. Management is clearly finding its stride as production costs stay low.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Barrick Gold past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$2.17
$3.06
+41.0%
Revenue
$4.81B
$10.35B
+115.3%
Key highlights
Massive revenue jump: Revenue grew 244% to $10.35 billion, though much of this came from a $4.37 billion increase in forward sales, which are agreements to sell metal at a set price in the future.
Profitability gains momentum: Net income rose to $59.5 million from a loss of $8.5 million a year ago, as the company benefited from record metal prices and higher trading volatility.
Customer order values spike: The average order value for direct customers jumped 82% to $5,618, and JM Bullion orders rose 53% to $3,056, showing that customers are making much larger purchases as metal prices rise.
Strategic digital partnership: The company completed a $150.0 million stock sale to a subsidiary of Tether, the issuer of the world's largest stablecoin, which is a digital currency pegged to the dollar, to bridge physical gold with digital markets.
Expanding production capacity: Management expects to significantly grow its manufacturing footprint following the acquisition of Sunshine Mint at the start of the fourth quarter, adding to a system that can already produce over three million ounces of product per week.
Our take: This was an exceptionally strong quarter that proved the company can thrive during periods of high gold prices and market chaos. The massive leap in average order values and the new partnership with Tether suggest the business is successfully moving beyond simple coin sales. It reinforces the long-term case for the stock.
Barrick Gold’s next earnings date
Q4 2026
SEP
8
Expectation
EPS
$0.96
Revenue
$5.67B
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Gold AISC
Staying below $1,600 per ounce on a trailing basis
$1,581/oz in Q4 2025
Copper Revenue
Growing toward a 25% share of total company revenue
$2.2B in FY2025
Free Cash Flow
Maintaining a yield above 5% at current gold prices