Alphabet is down about 1.3 percent today, extending a three-day losing streak, and now trades about 5.5 percent below its recent high. We think this is mostly the market reassessing the company after a week of high-profile departures from its AI teams, which has raised questions about whether Alphabet can hold onto top talent while spending heavily on data centers.
Our view
Alphabet's cloud business is accelerating and search remains resilient, but the company is burning cash to build AI infrastructure faster than rivals. The departures of Jeff Dean and others suggest the company may be struggling to balance cutting-edge research with the commercial pressure to monetize AI quickly. If you own it, there's nothing to do here but sit tight, a lower price doesn't mean the business got worse, and the real question is whether the company can keep innovating while spending at this pace. That's what we're watching next quarter.
AI lab Mirendil signs a 100 million dollar Google Cloud deal
The AI research lab Mirendil has signed a multi-year deal worth more than $100 million to use Google’s cloud infrastructure. Mirendil will use this computing power to build and run its self-improving AI models.
This win is a small but helpful sign for Google Cloud as it competes with Microsoft and Amazon to be the primary home for the next wave of AI startups. While the dollar amount is modest for a company of Alphabet's size, winning these high-growth customers is key to justifying the billions the company is spending on new data centers.
Company newsFor the record
Aug 7
Shopify says AI search is helping rather than hurting its traffic
Shopify noted that AI-powered search is currently acting as a bridge to its sellers rather than a replacement for traditional Google searches. Some analysts have worried that AI tools which answer questions directly might stop people from clicking through to websites, which would hurt Google's ad business. For now, this suggests that AI search can coexist with the current web ecosystem. If users continue to use these tools to find and buy products, it lessens the immediate risk that AI will destroy the search traffic that Google relies on for its profits.
LegalConcerning
Aug 6
UK tribunal allows a 6.7 billion dollar advertiser lawsuit against Google
A UK court has ruled that a lawsuit representing thousands of advertisers can move forward against Google. The case claims that Google used its control over mobile apps and search to shut out competition and charge higher prices for ads, seeking about 6.7 billion dollars in damages.
This is part of a growing list of legal challenges to Google's advertising business. While these cases often take years to resolve, this ruling means the company cannot simply have the matter dismissed and will have to defend its business practices in court. It adds to the long-term risk that regulators or courts could eventually force changes to how Google makes money from ads.
Company newsWorth watching
Aug 6
Chief scientist Jeff Dean leaves Google after 27 years
Jeff Dean, a foundational figure in Google's history and its chief scientist, is leaving the company after nearly three decades. His departure comes as Google reorganizes its various AI divisions to move faster in a more competitive market.
Losing a pioneer like Dean is a notable blow to the company's research bench. While Google still has a massive pool of talent, the exit of such a high-profile leader to start a rival firm highlights the ongoing struggle to keep top experts from leaving for smaller, more nimble AI startups.
Alphabet plans to borrow $25 billion through a new bond sale
Alphabet is reportedly looking to raise up to 25 billion dollars by selling bonds, which are essentially IOUs that companies issue to investors to borrow money. This move comes shortly after the company told the market it expects to spend heavily on things like data centers and chips to keep up in the artificial intelligence race.
While Alphabet has plenty of cash on hand, borrowing now allows it to fund these expensive projects without draining its own reserves. It is a sign that the company is committed to its high-spending plan even after that forecast caused some concern among those who worry about how much cash the AI push is eating up.
Analysts recently issued a flurry of mixed price target adjustments following a wave of updates on July 23. Most analysts remain bullish, with 71 of 83 rating the stock a buy and an average target price 20% above today's price.
Average target$427.55+20%vs $355.47 today
TodayAvg price
Low $350High $475
Strong Buy83 analysts
1Bearish
11Neutral
71Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
D.A. Davidson
—
$375→$350
7/23/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$455→$465
7/23/2026
Roth Capital
Buy
$435→$440
7/23/2026
Truist Financial
Buy
$430→$420
7/23/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$435→$420
7/23/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$415→$400
7/23/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$418→$411
7/23/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$405→$425
7/23/2026
Pivotal Research
Buy
$470→$475
7/23/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$416→$438
7/21/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$435→$455
7/17/2026
UBS
Neutral
$410→$400
7/13/2026
Alphabet earnings
Alphabet has beaten earnings estimates in eight straight quarters, with an average beat of 135 cents per share. The latest quarter saw earnings nearly quadruple, driven by a $98 billion unrealized gain on equity investments and strong cloud growth, so the company is clearly executing, though much of the profit surge came from paper gains rather than operating performance.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Alphabet past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$2.87
$9.11
+217.4%
Revenue
$116.53B
$119.80B
+2.8%
Key highlights
Cloud growth accelerating: Google Cloud revenue surged 82% to $24.8 billion as businesses rushed to use its artificial intelligence infrastructure and Gemini software. This division now makes up 21% of the company's total sales, up from 14% just one year ago.
Unrealized investment gains: The company reported a massive $98.0 billion gain primarily from changes in the market value of its stock investments. While this pushed net income up 298% to $112.1 billion, it is a paper gain that can swing wildly and does not reflect the cash earned from selling products.
Massive infrastructure spending: Alphabet spent $44.9 billion on property and equipment this quarter, more than doubling the $22.4 billion it spent a year ago. This aggressive spending to build data centers for artificial intelligence led to a free cash flow loss of $5.9 billion.
Search remains resilient: Revenue from Google Search and other related services grew 17% to $63.3 billion, showing that AI tools are currently helping rather than hurting the core business. CEO Sundar Pichai noted that new AI features are actually driving people to search more often.
Capital raising for AI: The company raised $49.6 billion through new stock sales and $20.3 billion in new debt to fund its expansion into global computing. This move significantly changes the balance sheet, with cash and marketable securities nearly doubling to $242.5 billion since the start of the year.
Our take: This was a noisy but fundamentally strong quarter. While the headline profit was inflated by $98 billion in paper investment gains, the 82% explosion in Cloud revenue proves Alphabet is winning real AI business. The massive spending is creating a temporary cash drain, but it solidifies their long-term lead in the AI race.
Alphabet’s next earnings date
Q3 2026
OCT
28
Expectation
EPS
$3.02
Revenue
$126.39B
SEP
4
Dividend payday
Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Cloud Revenue Growth
Staying above 40% year over year
82% YoY in Q2 2026
Cloud Backlog
Increasing at least 15% quarter over quarter
$460B in Q1 2026
Paid Subscriptions
Reaching 400 million total users across platforms
350M as of Q1 2026
Search Revenue Growth
Maintaining at least 12% annual growth
17% YoY in Q2 2026
Waymo Ride Volume
Growing beyond 1 million autonomous rides per week