The stock fell about 2 percent today, its second straight down day, and has now lost nearly a fifth of its value over the last month. We think this is mostly about a steady slide across the sector as officials flag risks in the fast pace of AI spending.
Our view
The company is trying to prove it can earn steady cash from AI chips rather than just relying on the price of Bitcoin. If you already own it, sit tight and wait to see if that shift shows up in the numbers next week.
The company is expected to report revenue of about 80 million dollars and a loss of about 21 cents per share. While Bitcoin mining remains the core business, the focus for long-term owners is how quickly the company is growing its high-performance computing arm. This segment uses the same data center infrastructure to rent out graphics chips for AI tasks, which provides more stable income than the volatile crypto market.
Federal Reserve officials flag risks in AI spending
Federal Reserve officials are questioning if the current pace of spending on artificial intelligence infrastructure is sustainable. This matters for the company because its growth plan depends on renting out high-powered graphics chips to AI customers. If a broader slowdown in AI investment occurs, it could make it harder for the company to hit its 100 million dollar revenue target for non-mining services.
The firm set its target at 7.50 dollars, which is significantly higher than where the stock trades today. This reflects a view that the market is not yet fully valuing the company's transition from Bitcoin mining into AI data center services. While analyst targets are just estimates, this one aligns with the idea that the company's growing fleet of graphics chips could drive higher valuation over time.
Analysts have consistently maintained a positive outlook on the stock throughout the first half of the year. Seven of nine analysts rate it a buy, and the average target of $7 suggests a potential upside of 138%.
Average target$6.57+138%vs $2.76 today
TodayAvg price
Low $5High $8
Strong Buy9 analysts
0Bearish
2Neutral
7Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Chardan Capital
Buy
$7.50
7/27/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$4.60→$7
6/4/2026
UBS
—
$8
6/3/2026
Rosenblatt Securities
Buy
$5.50
6/3/2026
H.C. Wainwright
—
$7
6/3/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$3→$4.60
5/19/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$5→$3
4/9/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$5
2/23/2026
New Street
—
$6→$5
2/19/2026
Northland Securities
Outperform
$7.50→$6
2/18/2026
H.C. Wainwright
—
$6→$8
10/29/2025
Northland Securities
Outperform
$6→$7.50
10/7/2025
HIVE Digital Technologies earnings
The company has missed analyst expectations for several quarters in a row. This suggests the business is becoming harder to forecast as it shifts its focus toward new AI services.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
HIVE Digital Technologies past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$-0.21
$-0.28
-33.3%
Revenue
$80M
$72M
-10.2%
Key highlights
Bitcoin mining output surge: The company mined 2,885 Bitcoin during the full year, a 104% increase over the 1,414 Bitcoin produced last year. This growth was driven by a massive expansion in hardware power, which increased four-fold to 25.1 exahash per second.
Cloud computing revenue record: High performance computing revenue, which is money earned from renting out powerful chips for AI and research, grew 94% to a record $19.5 million this year. This side of the business now generates $35 million in steady annual contracts after adding a new cluster of high-end Nvidia chips.
Profitability pressure in Q4: The company reported an adjusted loss of $9 million for the final quarter, a sharp drop from the $5.7 million profit it made just three months earlier. This happened because the price of Bitcoin fell 27% while the difficulty of mining it continued to rise to record levels.
Ambitious data center roadmap: Management expects to hit $660 million in annual computing revenue by the end of 2028, anchored by a new 320 megawatt site in Toronto. This project is designed to hold 100,000 specialized chips and would represent one of the largest privately owned AI facilities in Canada.
Liquidity and funding boost: The company raised $115 million through a specialized debt deal that carries 0% interest and can be converted into shares later. These funds will be used to pay for the expansion in Paraguay and build out its growing AI infrastructure pipeline.
Our take: This was a tough quarter where the high costs of building out new data centers met a sharp drop in Bitcoin prices. While the 158% yearly revenue growth is impressive, the company is still losing significant money on a reported basis. The long term case depends entirely on whether they can successfully pivot into the $660 million AI computing target by 2028.
HIVE Digital Technologies’s next earnings date
Q1 2027
AUG
13
Expectation
EPS
$-0.21
Revenue
$82M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
HPC Revenue
Reaching a $100M annual run rate
$35M annual run rate in Q4 FY2026
Bitcoin Mined
Maintaining above 300 BTC per month
292 BTC average per month in Q4 FY2026
Gross Margin
Returning to positive territory above 15%
-21% for FY2026
GPU Fleet Size
Scaling to 50,000 enterprise-grade cards
11,000 GPUs projected by end of 2026
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