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Stifel Nicolaus set its target for the stock at $35, which is a bit lower than the $37 average across all Wall Street firms. This is a routine update and does not change the firm's overall rating. For a company like Kinder Morgan, which moves energy through a vast network of pipelines, these target tweaks often reflect small shifts in expectations for energy prices or the volume of fuel moving through its system.
Source: Stifel Nicolaus
Saudi Arabia shut its East-West pipeline, a critical route for moving oil, after several attacks on the infrastructure. This closure removes a key alternative to the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway where much of the world's oil travels and where tensions are already high.
For Kinder Morgan, higher oil prices generally make it more profitable for its customers to drill and move energy. As one of the largest energy infrastructure companies in North America, its business of moving and storing oil and gas becomes more valuable when global supplies are tight and prices are rising.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Global oil prices rose toward $100 a barrel following US military action against Iranian tankers in the Middle East. These tensions often lead to higher energy prices due to fears that global supply could be interrupted.
For a pipeline giant like Kinder Morgan, higher energy prices are generally a good sign. While the company mostly earns steady fees for moving fuel rather than selling it, higher prices encourage its customers to produce more oil and gas. When production is high, more volume flows through the company's network of pipes and storage tanks.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
The August jobs report showed a labor market that is still running hot, which makes it less likely that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates soon. For a company like Kinder Morgan that carries a lot of debt to fund its pipelines and terminals, higher rates mean it costs more to borrow money.
At the same time, diesel prices reached an all-time high this week. Since the company relies on heavy machinery and fuel to maintain its massive network of energy infrastructure, these record prices could eat into profits by raising its daily operating costs.
Energy infrastructure companies are seeing a boost from record amounts of natural gas and liquids moving through their networks. This high volume, combined with steady fees that do not change much even when energy prices swing, has led many in the sector to raise their profit expectations for the year.
For a company like Kinder Morgan, which operates a massive network of pipelines and terminals, this confirms that the core business is capturing the benefit of high export demand. The steady nature of these fee-based contracts helps protect the cash used to pay dividends even if the broader economy slows down.
Management has shifted from a string of narrow misses to consistently over-delivering on profit, suggesting they have gained a much better handle on their costs and volume growth.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $0.33 |
| Revenue | $4.42B |
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