The stock rose about 8 percent today, its fifth straight day of gains, and has now climbed back to its highest price since early summer. We think this is mostly about a broader rally in software stocks today, as investors moved back into the sector following a weak jobs report.
Our view
The company is successfully shifting its business to the cloud, which is where the most important new software is being built. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that transition play out.
The company scheduled its second quarter earnings call for September 1. This will be the first full look at how its cloud database, Atlas, is performing in the current environment. We will be watching for whether more developers are choosing its platform for new software projects, which is the main engine for its long-term growth.
KGI Securities set a price target of $470 for the stock. This is a optimistic view compared to the average analyst target of $400. It suggests the firm sees more room for the company to grow as it wins a larger share of the database market from older, less flexible competitors.
Most analysts issued a flurry of positive ratings and price updates in late May. Overall, 36 of 44 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $400 is roughly equal to the current price.
Average target$400.18+0%vs $398.80 today
Avg price
Low $315High $515
Strong Buy44 analysts
2Bearish
6Neutral
36Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
KGI Securities
Outperform
$470
7/8/2026
Tigress Financial
Buy
$515
6/2/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$435
5/29/2026
Needham
Buy
$400
5/29/2026
UBS
Neutral
$366
5/29/2026
Macquarie
Neutral
$315
5/29/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$380
5/29/2026
Cantor Fitzgerald
Overweight
$416
5/26/2026
Wedbush
Outperform
$380
3/3/2026
Needham
Buy
$300
3/3/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$340
3/3/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$385
2/25/2026
MongoDB earnings
Management has a perfect track record of beating its own targets over the last two years. They consistently set a bar they can clear, which makes their forecasts easier to trust.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
MongoDB past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$1.19
$1.32
+10.9%
Revenue
$665M
$688M
+3.5%
Key highlights
Cloud revenue growth steady: Atlas revenue, which tracks the company's flagship cloud database service, grew 29% compared to the same time last year. This is a key measure of the company's shift toward cloud-based software and now makes up roughly 74% of total revenue.
Big customer wins continue: The number of customers spending at least $100,000 annually grew 15.5% over the past year to reach 2,895. This steady growth among large enterprises suggests the platform is becoming a standard choice for mission-critical business applications.
Contract backlogs surging: The company's remaining performance obligations, which is the total value of signed contracts not yet recognized as revenue, grew 88% to $1.46 billion. This surge in future work provides a much clearer picture of demand than the quarterly sales figures alone.
Cash flow generation doubles: Free cash flow, the cash left over after paying for all operations and equipment, reached $197.5 million compared to $105.9 million a year ago. This means the company is turning about 29% of its revenue into actual cash, nearly doubling its efficiency from last year.
Full year outlook raised: Management expects full year revenue to be between $2.92 billion and $2.96 billion, which is higher than previous estimates. They also raised profit expectations to a range of $5.95 to $6.14 per share, showing confidence that they can manage costs while growing the business.
Our take: This was a high-quality quarter that showed MongoDB can grow its profit and cash flow even faster than its sales. The massive jump in contract backlogs and the 29% growth in cloud revenue show that large companies are moving more of their important work to this platform. It strengthens the case that MongoDB is becoming an essential piece of software for the AI era.
MongoDB’s next earnings date
Q2 2027
SEP
1
Expectation
EPS
$1.61
Revenue
$735M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Atlas Revenue Growth
Staying above 25% year-over-year for the next four quarters
29% YoY in Q1 FY2027
High-Value Customer Count
Customers spending over $100K ARR growing by at least 15% annually
2,895 customers as of Q1 FY2027, up 15.5%
Free Cash Flow Margin
Consistently reaching and staying above 15% of revenue
29% in Q1 FY2027
Net Revenue Retention (NRR)
Remaining above 115% to show existing customers are spending more