Updated Aug 18 at 5:05pm ET.
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Cantor Fitzgerald lowered its price target to 186 dollars, down from 212 dollars. This change likely reflects the recent drop in Bitcoin prices, which directly dictates what the company's massive digital treasury is worth.
Even with the lower target, the firm's outlook remains well above the current stock price of about 98 dollars. This suggests analysts still see significant value in the company's role as the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, provided the cryptocurrency recovers.
Source: Cantor Fitzgerald
CEO Phong Le stated that the company is designed to grow its Bitcoin holdings faster than it issues new shares. This "Bitcoin Yield" is the core of the business, as it allows the firm to use its corporate structure to acquire more of the digital asset than a regular investor could by just buying the coin.
While the company recently sold about 100 million dollars in Bitcoin, the focus remains on long-term accumulation. For owners, the key is whether the company can keep using cheap debt and new stock sales to buy Bitcoin without washing out the value of existing shares.
Source: CNBC Television
The company sold about 100 million dollars worth of Bitcoin recently. While the firm is primarily a long-term holder, it occasionally sells small amounts as part of its treasury management or to fund operations. This sale is small compared to the company's total holdings of over 843,000 bitcoins. It does not change the main goal of using the business as a way for investors to get levered exposure to the digital asset.
Source: Forbes
The company lost 24.45 dollars per share, which was much worse than the 2.19 dollar loss analysts expected. This loss is mostly on paper, caused by accounting rules that require the company to mark down the value of its Bitcoin when the market price drops.
Despite the loss, the company grew its total holdings to over 843,000 bitcoins, a 25 percent increase since the start of the year. Management also introduced a new metric called "BTC Yield" to show they are acquiring coins faster than they are diluting shareholders. For long-term owners, the massive net loss is less important than the company's ability to keep stacking more Bitcoin per share.
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Source: 8-K filing
Instead of buying more Bitcoin this week, the company focused on buying back its STRC preferred stock. Preferred stock is a type of investment that pays fixed dividends, and buying it back at a discount helps the company reduce its future payment obligations. This move shows management is looking for the best way to use its cash, even if it means briefly stepping away from its main mission of buying Bitcoin. It helps strengthen the company's financial health during a period of market volatility.
Source: Barrons
Analysts have recently lowered their price targets for the stock following a series of negative reports on the company's bitcoin holdings. Most analysts remain optimistic, with 18 of 29 rating it a buy and an average target price 128% higher than today.
The company has missed analyst targets in six of the last eight quarters. Because its profits are tied to the price of bitcoin, its earnings are incredibly difficult to predict accurately.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $12.34 |
| Revenue | $127M |

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