NIO fell about 1 percent today, its fourth straight day of losses, and has now dropped nearly 9 percent from its high in mid-July. We think this is mostly a continuation of a steady slide since the July delivery update, as the stock drifts lower on a quiet day for the broader market.
Our view
NIO is successfully growing its car deliveries and keeping its costs under control, which are the real signs of a healthy business. If you already own it, the best move is to sit tight and ignore the recent price slide.
The company released its delivery figures for July 2026. These monthly updates are a key way to track if the business is meeting its growth targets and how well its new mass-market brand is being received by customers.
For a business still working toward profitability, consistent delivery growth is necessary to cover the high costs of its battery-swapping network. We watch these numbers to see if the company can maintain its momentum in the competitive Chinese market.
Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock from a neutral rating to Buy. They set a new price target of $7, which is about 45 percent higher than where the stock has been trading recently.
This upgrade suggests more confidence in the company's path forward. Analysts often look for signs that a carmaker can scale up production without losing too much cash, and this move indicates they see better days ahead for the business.
NIO analyst price targets
Analysts have issued a flurry of upgrades and positive reports recently as the company’s delivery numbers improved. Most analysts, 13 of 24, rate the stock a buy with an average target of $7, suggesting 45% upside from today's price.
Average target$6.65+45%vs $4.60 today
TodayAvg price
Low $6High $7
Buy24 analysts
2Bearish
9Neutral
13Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Bernstein
Market Perform
$6
5/22/2026
CMB International Securities
—
$7
5/22/2026
UBS
Buy
$6.80
5/21/2026
HSBC
Buy
$6.80
3/13/2026
Macquarie
Neutral
$6.10
1/15/2026
Macquarie
Neutral
$5.30
11/25/2025
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$7
10/30/2025
Mizuho Securities
Neutral
$6→$7
9/23/2025
Mizuho Securities
Neutral
$5→$4.20
3/24/2025
Macquarie
Neutral
$6.60
10/28/2024
US Tiger Securities
—
$8
9/5/2024
Mizuho Securities
Neutral
$5
9/5/2024
NIO earnings
The company has cleared analyst targets for five straight quarters. Management is getting better at setting realistic bars and then beating them as production scales up.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
NIO past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$-0.08
$-0.03
+60.0%
Revenue
$3.69B
$3.70B
+0.3%
Key highlights
Vehicle margins expanding: Vehicle margin, which is the profit left after building each car, rose to 18.8% compared to 10.2% a year ago. This improvement suggests the company is becoming much more efficient at manufacturing as it shifts to a more profitable mix of vehicles.
Strong delivery growth: The company delivered 83,465 vehicles in the first quarter, nearly doubling the 42,094 cars delivered in the same period last year. Scaling up deliveries is essential for the company to reach its goal of sustainable profitability.
Operating expenses falling: Spending on research and development dropped 40.7% to RMB1,885.0 million because of organizational optimization, which is a term for job cuts and restructuring. This helped the company report an adjusted profit from operations of RMB66.8 million, a major swing from the RMB5,947.2 million loss last year.
Multibrand expansion continues: The mix of cars sold included 13,339 units from the newer ONVO brand and 11,583 from the FIREFLY brand. Introducing these different brands allows the company to reach more types of buyers beyond its original premium NIO line.
Strong delivery outlook: Management expects to deliver between 110,000 and 115,000 vehicles next quarter, which would be an increase of 52.7% to 59.6% over last year. This suggests that the ramp up of new models like the ONVO L80 and the flagship ES9 is expected to drive significant volume growth.
Our take: A very strong quarter that shows the business is finally finding its footing. The jump in vehicle margins to 18.8% and the move to a positive adjusted operating profit prove that the company can grow deliveries while controlling costs. This significantly strengthens the case for the stock by reducing the need for more outside funding.
NIO’s next earnings date
Q2 2026
SEP
1
Expectation
EPS
$-0.07
Revenue
$4.89B
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Vehicle Margin
Staying above 15% during the ONVO ramp
18.8% in Q1 2026
Monthly Deliveries
Reaching and sustaining 25,000 units across all brands