Nutanix rose about 1 percent today and has now climbed for two straight days to reach a new all-time high. We think this is mostly normal market movement on a quiet day with no major company news.
Our view
The company is proving it can grow efficiently while generating plenty of cash. If you have been thinking about buying, this is a reasonable price to pay for a business that is successfully winning over large corporate customers.
Nutanix reports costs for a new restructuring plan
Nutanix filed a notice with regulators regarding a new plan to reorganize its operations and cut costs. These filings typically involve layoffs or closing offices, and the company will have to pay one-time fees to finish the process.
While cutting costs can help protect profits, it can also be a sign that growth is slowing or that the company needs to become more efficient. For a business trying to win over large customers from rivals like VMware, the key is making sure these cuts do not hurt its ability to sell and support its software.
New survey highlights AI risks in regulated industries
Nutanix released new data from its annual survey focusing on how industries like healthcare and finance handle AI. The report found these sectors face risks from shadow AI, which is when employees use AI tools without the company's official approval or oversight. This is a marketing effort to show why companies need the kind of secure, private cloud software Nutanix sells. By highlighting these risks, the company is positioning its tools as the safe way for big banks and hospitals to run AI models on their own servers rather than in the open cloud.
Analysts recently issued a flurry of updates on May 28th, mostly keeping their ratings steady while adjusting their expectations. Twenty of 32 analysts rate the stock a buy, though the average price target of $57 sits 17% below today's price.
Average target$56.71-17%vs $67.95 today
TodayAvg price
Low $47High $62
Buy32 analysts
0Bearish
12Neutral
20Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Northland Securities
Market Perform
$43→$47
5/28/2026
Piper Sandler
Overweight
$63→$60
5/28/2026
UBS
Buy
$60→$62
5/28/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$55→$58
5/28/2026
Needham
Buy
$60
5/28/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$53→$55
5/28/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$50→$55
5/28/2026
Northland Securities
Market Perform
$53→$43
4/8/2026
Needham
Buy
$55
2/26/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$50
2/26/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$62→$56
2/24/2026
RBC Capital
Outperform
$65→$55
2/11/2026
Nutanix earnings
Management has a perfect record of clearing the bars they set for themselves. They consistently deliver slightly better results than analysts expect, which shows they have a very firm handle on their costs.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Nutanix past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$0.36
$0.47
+32.1%
Revenue
$686M
$703M
+2.4%
Key highlights
Subscription growth holding steady: Annual recurring revenue, which is the yearly value of all active subscription contracts, grew 15% to $2.43 billion. This matches the growth rate from the previous quarter and shows the company is successfully keeping its existing customers while adding new ones.
Profit margins widening: The operating margin, a measure of how much profit is left from every dollar of sales after paying for business costs, rose to 22.3% from 21.5% a year ago. This improvement came even as total operating expenses grew by 8.0% to $460.5 million.
Share buyback program expanded: The board authorized a $750 million increase to the company's share repurchase program, which lets the business buy back its own stock to return value to owners. This significant expansion follows $433.2 million already spent on repurchases during the first nine months of the fiscal year.
Contract values growing larger: Average contract duration increased to 3.4 years compared to 3.1 years in the same quarter last year. Longer contracts provide more predictable future income and suggest customers are making deeper, multiyear commitments to the platform.
Full year outlook raised: Management raised its full year revenue guidance to a range of $2.82 billion to $2.84 billion, while expecting to generate between $760 million and $780 million in free cash flow. This means the company expects to end the year with higher sales and more cash left over than it previously predicted.
Our take: This was a strong quarter that showed Nutanix can grow its profits faster than its sales. The steady 15% growth in subscription value and the massive boost to the share buyback program signal a healthy, maturing business. These results reinforce the case for owning the company as it becomes more efficient.
Nutanix’s next earnings date
Q4 2026
AUG
26
Expectation
EPS
$0.49
Revenue
$738M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
ARR Growth
Staying above 15% annually for the next eight quarters
15% YoY in Q3 2026
FCF Margin
Staying above 25% of total revenue
28% in Q3 2026
Customer Count
Reaching over 35,000 total customers by the end of FY2027