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OKE

ONEOKOKE

$87.93
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
3.7
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Why ONEOK stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 1:56pm ET.

$87.93
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What's happening with the stock

The stock is barely moving today, its fourth straight day without a gain, and it now sits about 7 percent below its high from late July. We think this is mostly ordinary movement following a busy week where the company raised its profit outlook and filed details on a new asset deal.

Our view

Management is clearing a higher bar by raising their profit goals for the second time this year. If you have been thinking about buying the stock, this recent dip makes it a fair price to pay.

Read full thesis on ONEOK

Latest ONEOK updates

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OKE
EarningsPositive
Aug 3

Profit and outlook raised on record gas volumes

The company reported second-quarter profit of $1.53 per share, which was higher than the $1.46 analysts expected. Revenue reached $12.05 billion, far ahead of the $8.95 billion forecast. The strong results were led by a 15 percent jump in natural gas liquids (NGLs), the liquids like propane and butane that are separated from natural gas, and a 12 percent rise in refined product shipments.

Because of this momentum, management raised its full-year profit goal to about $3.5 billion. This is the second time this year they have increased their targets. It shows that the company is successfully moving more energy through its pipes, which generates steady fees regardless of where oil and gas prices sit. If they can keep this volume growth up while managing the costs of their recent acquisitions, the business remains a very healthy cash generator.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

OKE
FilingFor the record
Aug 3

Acquisition and disclosure details filed

The company submitted a formal filing to confirm the completion of an asset acquisition or sale. This follows a period of heavy deal-making where the business has been buying up other pipeline networks to grow its reach.

For those holding the stock, these filings are the official confirmation of the strategy to capture more fees across the energy chain. While the filing itself is a routine step, it ensures the company is keeping the public updated on its changing asset base.

Source: 8-K filing

OKE
Analyst price updateFor the record
Jul 29

Morgan Stanley moves to a neutral rating

Morgan Stanley analysts shifted their view on the stock to Equal Weight, which means they expect it to perform in line with the broader market rather than lead it. They set a price target of $103.

This change suggests that while the business is performing well, much of that success might already be reflected in the current stock price. For long-term owners, the core story of steady fee-based income hasn't changed, but this move reflects a view that the stock may have less room for a quick jump from here.

Source: Morgan Stanley

OKE
Analyst price updateFor the record
Jul 17

Jefferies lowers rating to Hold

Jefferies downgraded the stock to a Hold rating, signaling a more cautious stance on how much the share price can grow in the near term. They set a target price of $95.

This type of move often happens when a stock has performed well and analysts want to see more evidence that the company can continue to grow its profits before recommending more buying. It doesn't signal a problem with the pipelines themselves, but rather a pause in expectations for the stock's performance.

Source: Jefferies

OKE
Company newsFor the record
Jul 15

Quarterly dividend maintained at $1.07

The board of directors declared a quarterly dividend of $1.07 per share, which is the same amount as the previous quarter. This adds up to a yearly payout of $4.28 for every share owned. For many who own this stock, the dividend is the primary reason to hold it. Keeping the payout steady shows that the company is generating enough cash from its pipelines to reward owners while still having money left over to pay down debt from its recent acquisitions.

Source: Globe News Wire

ONEOK analyst price targets

Analysts have recently turned more cautious, with several downgrades occurring throughout July. Overall, 17 of 39 analysts rate the stock a buy, and the average target of $92 suggests a 5% gain from today's price.

Average target$92.38+5%vs $87.93 today
TodayAvg price
Low $88High $103
Hold39 analysts
0Bearish
22Neutral
17Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$103
7/29/2026
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
$84→$90
7/21/2026
Jefferies
Hold
$95
7/17/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$90→$88
7/8/2026
Truist Financial
Hold
$91→$93
5/4/2026
Raymond James
Outperform
$90→$92
4/30/2026
Scotiabank
Sector Perform
$89
4/30/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$82→$90
4/30/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$82
3/5/2026
Mizuho Securities
Neutral
$82→$89
2/23/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$107→$104
1/28/2026
UBS
Buy
$114→$103
1/22/2026

ONEOK earnings

Management has a habit of setting reachable goals and clearing them, beating expectations in five of the last eight quarters while growing revenue by over 50 percent.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$1.03$1.31$1.58Oct '24Feb '25Apr '25Aug '25Oct '25Feb '26Apr '26Aug '26nextOct '26

ONEOK past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$1.46$1.53+4.8%
Revenue$8.95B$12.05B+34.6%

Key highlights

  • Profit outlook raised: Management increased the 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance, which is a key measure of cash earnings, to a new midpoint of $8.35 billion. This is the second time the company has raised its full year expectations this year, signaling that the network of pipelines and processing plants is performing better than originally planned.
  • Pipeline volumes reaching records: The company moved a record amount of natural gas liquids through its system, with daily volumes rising 7% to 1.63 million barrels per day. This growth shows that even with varying energy prices, the physical demand for moving products from the Permian region and Gulf Coast remains very high.
  • Natural gas pipelines surge: Earnings in the natural gas pipeline division jumped 58% to $297 million because the company was able to take advantage of wide price gaps between different trading hubs. This shows how the company uses its storage and transportation network to capture extra profit when gas prices differ significantly across various regions.
  • Expansion projects nearing finish: The company reported that its refined products pipeline expansion in the Denver area will be finished in early August 2026. This project is part of a larger plan that kept total capital spending at $613 million for the quarter, supporting future volume growth without exceeding the full year budget of $2.7 billion to $3.2 billion.
  • Refined products business growing: Earnings from the refined products and crude segment rose 13% to $627 million as the company increased the amount of fuel it shipped to 1.63 million barrels per day. The growth was driven by higher transportation rates and increased marketing activity, which helped offset a $48 million rise in operating costs.

Our take: This was a strong quarter that highlights the company's ability to turn high volumes into meaningful profit growth. Raising the full year outlook for a second time shows management is very confident in their integrated network. These results strengthen the case for the business as a reliable cash generator for long term owners.

ONEOK’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
27
Expectation
EPS$1.46
Revenue$9.37B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
NGL Raw Feed Throughput
Sustaining 10% or higher year-over-year volume growth
7% YoY growth in Q2 2026
Adjusted EBITDA
Reaching or exceeding the $8.25 billion midpoint for FY2026
$8.35B midpoint for FY2026
Dividend Coverage Ratio
Maintaining free cash flow at least 1.5x the dividend payout
1.45x based on TTM FCF
Debt-to-EBITDA Ratio
Moving toward a long-term target of 3.5x or lower
4.1x as of Q1 2026

More ONEOK coverage from around the web

ONEOK Releases Annual Corporate Sustainability Report

Globe News Wire · Press release · Aug 5

ONEOK, Inc. (OKE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 4

ONEOK's Underperformance Doesn't Mean A Downgrade Is Needed

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 4

ONEOK boosts 2026 forecast as higher NGL volumes boost quarterly profit

Reuters · Aug 3

ONEOK Announces Higher Second-Quarter 2026 Earnings: Net Income up 13%, Adjusted EBITDA up 7%

GlobeNewsWire · Press release · Aug 3

ONEOK Declares Quarterly Dividend

Globe News Wire · Press release · Jul 15

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