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OWL

Blue Owl CapitalOWL

$12.33
Updated Aug 11, 2026
Quality Score
4.4
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Why Blue Owl Capital stock moved?

Updated Aug 11 at 4:05pm ET.

$12.33
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What's happening with the stock

Blue Owl fell about 2 percent today, its first down day after a steady climb that has pushed the stock up 32 percent this month. We think today is just a quiet breather for the stock after a huge run-up following its strong July earnings report.

Our view

Blue Owl is proving it can grow its assets even when the broader lending market gets tougher. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let the business keep scaling.

Read full thesis on Blue Owl Capital

Latest Blue Owl Capital updates

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OWL
Macro & policyWorth watching
Aug 11

Private lenders tighten terms as hidden defaults rise

Firms in the private credit industry are becoming more cautious as some borrowers struggle to pay interest on time. These "shadow defaults" happen when a company cannot meet its payment schedule but avoids a formal bankruptcy filing by negotiating with its lenders.

This matters for Blue Owl because a large part of its business involves lending money directly to companies. If more borrowers fail to pay, it could hurt the returns of the funds Blue Owl manages. While the company focuses on high-quality loans, a broader industry crackdown on loan sweeteners, special perks given to borrowers, suggests the environment for private lending is getting tougher.

Source: WSJ

OWL
Company newsFor the record
Aug 11

Blue Owl plans to borrow money through a 10-year bond sale

Blue Owl is offering 10-year senior unsecured notes, which are essentially bonds that the company promises to pay back a decade from now. These notes are "unsecured," meaning they are backed by the company's general credit rather than specific assets like buildings or equipment.

For a firm like Blue Owl, raising money this way is a routine part of managing its finances. It provides the cash needed to invest in new opportunities or pay off older debts. Because the notes are guaranteed by several of Blue Owl's main business units, it shows the company is using its full scale to back the new debt.

Source: PRNewsWire

OWL
Company newsPositive
Aug 5

Blue Owl Technology Finance reports slight rise in quarterly income

Blue Owl Technology Finance, a specialized fund managed by the company that lends to tech firms, reported net investment income of $0.30 per share. This is a slight step up from the $0.29 it earned in the previous quarter. While this is just one part of the broader business, it shows that the company's lending activities in the tech sector remain steady. It also paid out a base dividend of $0.35 per share, which is the cash it sends back to its own investors from the interest it collects on loans.

Source: PRNewsWire

OWL
ProductPositive
Aug 4

European real estate fund closes with 1.6 billion euros

Blue Owl finished raising money for its first European net lease fund, bringing in about 1.6 billion euros. This was well above its original goal of 1 billion euros. A net lease is a deal where the tenant pays for most of the building's costs, like taxes and insurance, in addition to rent, which provides a steady stream of cash for the fund.

This is a win because it shows the company can successfully expand into Europe and raise money for real estate even when markets are uncertain. Since Blue Owl earns fees based on how much money it manages, this successful fundraise will help grow its long-term fee income.

Source: PRNewsWire

OWL
EarningsPositive
Jul 30

Quarterly profits and revenue beat expectations

Blue Owl reported second-quarter earnings of $0.22 per share, slightly ahead of what analysts expected. Revenue reached about 750 million dollars, which was also higher than the 690 million dollars anticipated. The company now manages 319 billion dollars for its clients, a sign that it continues to attract new money despite a tougher environment for private lending.

What matters here is the shift toward real estate and other physical assets, which helped offset a slower period for its core lending business. Most of the company's capital is permanent, meaning investors cannot easily pull it out. This keeps the fees flowing in even when markets are choppy, which is the core reason the business remains resilient.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

Blue Owl Capital analyst price targets

Analysts recently raised their price targets following the company's second-quarter earnings report. While 12 of 19 analysts recommend buying the stock, the average target of $10 is about 19% lower than the current price.

Average target$10.02-19%vs $12.33 today
TodayAvg price
Low $9High $12
Buy19 analysts
0Bearish
7Neutral
12Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Capital One Financial
—
$11→$12
8/3/2026
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
$9.50→$10.50
8/3/2026
Capital One Financial
—
$12→$11
7/13/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$10→$9
7/9/2026
Credit Suisse
—
$9.10
7/2/2026
UBS
Neutral
$9.50
6/11/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$9→$10
5/1/2026
Deutsche Bank
Hold
$10
2/24/2026
UBS
Neutral
$16.50→$12
2/20/2026
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$17→$14
2/6/2026
Goldman Sachs
Neutral
$16.25→$14
2/6/2026
Piper Sandler
Overweight
$21→$15
2/6/2026

Blue Owl Capital earnings

The company has a consistent habit of clearing the bars set by analysts, beating expectations in each of the last three quarters as its managed assets continue to climb.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$0.17$0.21$0.24Oct '24Feb '25May '25Jul '25Oct '25Feb '26Apr '26Jul '26nextOct '26

Blue Owl Capital past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$0.22$0.22+1.6%
Revenue$693M$753M+8.6%

Key highlights

  • Real assets driving expansion: Total assets under management grew 12% to $319.0 billion, fueled largely by the real assets division which surged 25% to reach $89.4 billion. This shift shows the company is successfully diversifying beyond its core lending business into physical property and infrastructure.
  • Fee paying assets growing: The amount of money the company is actually earning fees on rose 7% to $190.6 billion. Management also highlighted another $31.1 billion in committed capital that is not yet paying fees, which is expected to generate roughly $380 million in annual management fees once it is fully invested.
  • Distributable earnings growth: Distributable earnings, which is the actual cash available to pay out to shareholders, grew 9% to $351.2 million compared to the same period last year. This cash flow supports the 2026 annual dividend of $0.92 per share, providing a clear path for shareholder returns as the company scales.
  • Permanent capital base: Permanent capital, meaning money that is committed for very long periods or indefinitely, grew 10% to $225.0 billion. This stable pool of money now generates 85% of the company's management fees, protecting the business from the sudden withdrawals that can hurt other asset managers during market stress.
  • Lending quality remains high: In the core credit business, loans that are in default or behind on payments remained low, with non-accruals at just 1.0% and 0.2% for the company's two largest diversified lending funds. These figures are well within healthy limits and suggest the portfolio is holding up against higher interest rates.

Our take: A steady quarter that shows Blue Owl's expansion into real estate and infrastructure is paying off. While fee paying assets grew slower than the overall total, the massive $31.1 billion pipeline of capital waiting to be deployed secures future raises in earnings. The business remains a highly predictable cash generator.

Blue Owl Capital’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
29
Expectation
EPS$0.23
Revenue$713M
AUG
13
Dividend payday
  • Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Permanent Capital Percentage
Staying above 70% of total assets under management
70.5% as of Q2 2026
Fee-Paying AUM Growth
Growing at 15% or more year over year
7% YoY in Q2 2026
Distributable Earnings per Share
Increasing by double digits annually to fund dividend growth
$0.22 in Q2 2026
Net Non-Accruals
Staying below 1% of the total credit portfolio
1.0% as of Q2 2026

More Blue Owl Capital coverage from around the web

BLUE OWL CAPITAL ANNOUNCES SENIOR NOTES OFFERING

PRNewsWire · Press release · Aug 11

Blue Owl Capital: Set For A Full NAV Rerating

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 10

Blue Owl Capital: Bears Are In A Self-Imposed Virtual Reality As AUM Grows

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Aug 10

Blue Owl Technology Finance Corp. Announces June 30, 2026 Financial Results

PRNewsWire · Press release · Aug 5

Blue Owl's Quiet Comeback Signals the Private Credit Debacle Is Behind Us

Barrons · Aug 4

Blue Owl Leans Into Real Assets to Buffer Private-Credit Woes

WSJ · Jul 30

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