The stock rose about 1 percent today, its first gain after a slow two-week slide that has left it about 7 percent below its July high. This looks like a quiet session with no major news as the market waits for the company to report its quarterly results later today.
Our view
This company owns landfills and trash routes that are almost impossible for rivals to replicate, which gives it a lot of power to raise prices. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight.
Republic Services reports its latest quarterly numbers today. Analysts expect the company to earn about $1.81 per share on $4.36 billion in revenue. The business has a long track record of topping expectations, having beaten analyst targets in each of its last eight quarters.
For long-term owners, the numbers that matter most are not the headline beats, but the underlying pricing power. We are watching to see if the company can keep raising prices by more than 5 percent to stay ahead of rising costs for labor and equipment. We are also looking for progress in its industrial waste segment, which is a key part of its plan to grow profits faster than total waste volume.
Company invested nearly $1 billion in sustainability in 2025
Republic Services released its 2025 sustainability report, highlighting nearly $1 billion in investments toward its 2030 goals. These goals cover areas like safety, talent, and climate leadership. While these reports are routine, they show how the company is spending to modernize its operations and manage its environmental impact, which is a core part of its long-term business model.
Analysts have kept a steady hand on this stock, with most recent activity focused on adjusting price targets following various updates. Nineteen of 35 analysts rate it a buy, and the average target of $236 suggests 12% upside.
Average target$235.60+12%vs $209.59 today
TodayAvg price
Low $223High $249
Buy35 analysts
0Bearish
16Neutral
19Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
UBS
Neutral
$240→$223
5/12/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$227→$233
5/11/2026
CIBC
Sector Outperform
$251→$249
5/8/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$236→$227
2/23/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$251→$248
2/18/2026
Morgan Stanley
Equal Weight
$230→$225
2/18/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$256→$255
1/23/2026
Scotiabank
Sector Perform
$246→$242
1/21/2026
Barclays
Equal Weight
$237→$236
1/20/2026
UBS
Neutral
$205→$220
1/5/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$255
11/24/2025
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$238
11/13/2025
Republic Services earnings
The company has beaten analyst profit targets for eight straight quarters. Management is very consistent at setting expectations they can reliably clear.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Republic Services past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$1.64
$1.70
+3.7%
Revenue
$4.10B
$4.11B
+0.4%
Key highlights
Core pricing remains strong: The company increased its core prices by 5.7%, and prices for customers with contracts that can be renegotiated more often rose 6.8%. This shows Republic can still push through price increases well above its 5% target to offset higher costs.
Profit margins expanding: The adjusted EBITDA margin, which is a measure of profit as a percentage of sales after removing certain one-time costs, rose to 32.1% from 31.6% a year ago. Management used effective cost control to keep operating expenses at 57.5% of revenue despite rising fuel and labor costs.
Environmental solutions revenue dip: Revenue from the environmental solutions division, which handles hazardous waste and specialized services, fell 1.3% on an organic basis compared to last year. This segment now makes up 9.8% of total sales, moving further away from the company's 15% long-term goal.
Aggressive acquisition spending: Republic invested $433 million into buying other businesses during the first quarter and has spent more than $700 million on acquisitions so far this year. These deals added 1.1% to total revenue growth as the company continues to consolidate the waste industry.
Steady outlook ahead: The company confirmed it is on track to hit its full year targets, which include an earlier forecast for $18.6 to $19.1 billion in revenue and free cash flow between $2.1 and $2.15 billion. Staying with this range suggests management is confident that current pricing trends will offset the small 0.8% decline in trash volume seen this quarter.
Our take: A very clean quarter that proves Republic can keep growing profits even when the total amount of trash it collects dips slightly. Its ability to raise prices by 5.7% while expanding profit margins shows a resilient business model that continues to strengthen the long term case for owners.
Republic Services’s next earnings date
Q2 2026
AUG
6
Expectation
EPS
$1.81
Revenue
$4.36B
OCT
2
Dividend payday
Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Core Pricing Yield
Staying above 5% annually
5.7% in Q1 2026
Environmental Solutions Revenue
Reaching 15% of total revenue
9.8% of revenue in Q1 2026
Adjusted EBITDA Margin
Expanding toward 31%
32.1% in Q1 2026
Free Cash Flow Conversion
Maintaining above 15% of revenue
23.9% of revenue in Q1 2026
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