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Retail sales in the US grew more than expected in August, with spending rising across 12 of 13 categories. This broad growth suggests that consumers are still spending despite high gasoline prices and expensive borrowing costs.
For Sherwin-Williams, this is a helpful sign for its retail and do-it-yourself business. While the company earns most of its profit from professional painters, steady consumer spending often leads to more home maintenance and small renovation projects. This helps keep sales steady while the company waits for a broader recovery in the housing market.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Existing home sales fell 2 percent in August compared to July, even though the supply of homes for sale reached its highest level in over ten years. The median price for a home also rose slightly to about $429,000.
This matters for Sherwin-Williams because its business relies heavily on people moving. A home sale usually triggers a large painting project, either by the seller to get the house ready or by the buyer after moving in. When fewer homes change hands, there is less work for the professional painters who buy most of their supplies at the company's stores.
Source: CNBC
The US producer price index, which tracks the prices businesses pay for supplies, rose 0.4 percent in August. This was the largest monthly increase since May and was driven mostly by the rising cost of energy. For Sherwin-Williams, higher wholesale prices can signal that the raw materials used to make paint, like resins and chemicals, are getting more expensive. The company has historically been able to raise its own prices to protect its profits, but a steady rise in costs makes it harder to maintain its current record-high profit margins.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
Loretta Hammack, a Federal Reserve official, stated that it is time to raise interest rates to keep prices under control. Higher rates make it more expensive for people to borrow money for homes or renovations.
For Sherwin-Williams, this matters because its business relies on people moving into new houses or fixing up old ones. When borrowing costs stay high, fewer homes change hands, which often means fewer painting projects for the professional contractors who buy most of the company's paint.
Source: CNBC
Wholesale prices, which measure what businesses pay for goods before they reach consumers, were flat in July. This indicates that the broader rise in the cost of living and doing business is slowing down.
For a paint maker, this is a positive sign for profit margins. The company relies on raw materials like resins and chemicals to make its products, and when these costs stop climbing, it is easier to maintain high profits without having to constantly raise prices on customers.
Source: Market Watch
Management has a reliable habit of clearing their own bars, with five straight quarters of beats showing they have a firm handle on their costs even as housing demand shifts.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $3.66 |
| Revenue | $6.79B |
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