Sherwin-Williams fell about 1.5 percent today, its first drop after a string of gains that pushed it to a new high yesterday. We think this is mostly just a quiet breather for the stock after a 6 percent climb this week, as there was no new company news today.
Our view
The company is proving it can grow profits by raising prices even when fewer people are moving homes. If you own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and keep holding a high-quality business.
Guggenheim set a price target of $400 for the paint maker. This is slightly higher than the average analyst target of $393 and well above the current price. It shows confidence that the company can continue to grow even as the housing market remains uncertain.
The company reported second-quarter earnings of $3.70 per share, which was better than the $3.52 analysts expected. Total sales rose about 7 percent to $6.79 billion. A key part of the business, the Paint Stores Group, saw sales at stores open at least a year grow by 4 percent.
Management also raised its outlook for the rest of the year. It now expects sales to grow in the mid-to-high single digits, up from its previous forecast of low-to-mid single digits. This suggests the company is successfully selling more paint to professional contractors despite a slow market for home sales.
The company will pay a dividend of $0.80 per share on September 11 to shareholders who own the stock by August 21. This is a routine payment that reflects the company's steady ability to generate cash and return it to owners.
Analysts recently updated their price targets for Sherwin-Williams following the company's strong second-quarter earnings report. Most analysts are positive, with 22 of 38 rating it a buy and an average price target of $393, suggesting 8% upside.
Average target$392.50+8%vs $363.42 today
TodayAvg price
Low $360High $420
Buy38 analysts
1Bearish
15Neutral
22Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Guggenheim
Buy
$400
8/3/2026
Goldman Sachs
—
$415→$420
7/29/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$400→$405
7/29/2026
UBS
Neutral
$365→$390
7/29/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$350→$360
7/29/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$395
7/29/2026
Jefferies
Hold
$375
7/28/2026
Berenberg Bank
—
$400→$380
6/8/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$355
6/3/2026
UBS
Neutral
$330
6/2/2026
Evercore ISI
Outperform
$400→$390
4/29/2026
Wells Fargo
Equal Weight
$365
4/10/2026
Sherwin-Williams earnings
Management has a habit of beating expectations, often by setting a bar they can reliably clear. They have topped profit estimates in six of the last eight quarters.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Sherwin-Williams past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$3.52
$3.70
+5.1%
Revenue
$6.60B
$6.79B
+2.8%
Key highlights
Outlook raised for 2026: Management increased its full year profit forecast to a range of $11.80 to $12.20 per share, up from the previous outlook and better than the $11.43 earned in 2025. This signal shows confidence in the company's ability to grow earnings even as demand remains soft in the broader housing and construction markets.
Paint stores driving growth: The Paint Stores Group saw same-store sales grow 4.2% in the quarter, which measures performance at locations open for at least a year. Higher prices for professional customers and double-digit growth in specialized coatings for ships and industrial sites helped offset a moderate rise in the cost of raw materials.
Acquisition boosts consumer sales: Sales in the Consumer Brands Group jumped 21.5% to $983.5 million, largely driven by the October 2025 purchase of a company called Suvinil. This expansion into South America is helping the division diversify its geography, though it also brought on new administrative and employee costs that the company is working to manage.
Pricing power protecting margins: The company achieved a gross margin of 49.2%, a slight dip from 49.4% a year ago but still above its long-term targets. Management plans to implement an 8% price increase in its paint stores starting September 1 to keep up with persistent inflation in energy, logistics, and packaging costs.
Capital returned to shareholders: Sherwin-Williams returned $1.46 billion to investors during the quarter through a combination of dividends and the repurchase of 5.6 million shares. Aggressive share buybacks help increase the value of each remaining share for long-term owners by reducing the total number of shares in the market.
Our take: This was a strong quarter that proved the company can thrive even when the housing market is not helping it. By raising prices and winning new professional accounts, Sherwin-Williams is protecting its margins despite rising material costs. The raised full year guidance strengthens the case that this is a reliable, well-managed business.
Sherwin-Williams’s next earnings date
Q3 2026
OCT
27
Expectation
EPS
$3.66
Revenue
$6.79B
AUG
21
Dividend payday
Own the stock before this date to get the next dividend payment.
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Gross Margin
Staying above 48% through all raw material cycles
49.2% in Q2 2026
Same-Store Sales
Positive growth in the Paint Stores Group professional segment
4.2% in Q2 2026
Store Count Growth
Adding 80 to 100 new stores annually
4,841 total stores in Q2 2026
Net Debt to EBITDA
Maintaining a ratio near 2.0x
~2.3x as of Q2 2026
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