Toast is down about 1 percent today, a quiet pause after a massive 20 percent surge last week that sent the stock to a new yearly high. We think this is just a calm session after a big run, as there is no new news and the whole market is barely moving.
Our view
The company is proving it can add thousands of restaurants while also expanding its profit margins, which is exactly the combination we look for. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let the growth play out.
Adyen expands its payments partnership with Toast into the U.S.
Toast is expanding its partnership with Adyen, a global firm that helps businesses process credit card payments, to include its U.S. operations. Toast handled over $215 billion in total payments for its customers over the last year, and it relies on partners like Adyen to make sure those transactions run smoothly and securely.
This move is a sign of Toast's massive scale in the American market. By working with a global specialist like Adyen, Toast can better manage the huge volume of money flowing through its platform while potentially finding more efficient ways to handle the technical side of every sandwich and coffee sold.
Google Maps adds AI-powered ordering for Toast restaurants
Toast is expanding its partnership with Google to let diners order food directly through Ask Maps, a feature that uses AI to answer spoken or typed requests for food recommendations. When a person asks for a specific dish or a nearby place to eat, the system can now pull up a menu from a restaurant using Toast and complete the entire order without the user leaving the map app.
This is a smart move for Toast because it makes its software more valuable to restaurant owners. By connecting its customers directly to Google's massive audience, Toast helps them win more orders without paying the high fees typically charged by delivery apps. It reinforces the idea that Toast is not just a payment tool, but a central system that helps restaurants find and keep customers.
BWH Hotels picks Toast as a preferred technology partner
BWH Hotels, which operates brands like Best Western and WorldHotels, has named Toast an endorsed provider for its roughly 4,300 properties across the United States and Canada. This means hotel owners in the network now have a streamlined path to use Toast for their on-site restaurants and cafes.
This is a meaningful win because it helps Toast move beyond standalone restaurants and deeper into the hotel industry. Large hotel chains have complex needs, and being an endorsed partner makes it much easier for Toast to win these contracts. It supports the goal of growing total locations by opening up a new and large group of potential customers.
Bernstein raised its price target for Toast from $39 to $45, a jump of about 15 percent. This move places their target well above the average analyst estimate of $37 and suggests they see more room for the stock to rise even after its recent gains.
This change likely reflects confidence in the company's ability to keep adding new locations while making more profit from each one. When a major firm makes a double-digit adjustment like this right after earnings, it usually means they are convinced the business is hitting its stride and becoming more efficient as it grows.
Barclays raised its price target from $35 to $39 while keeping an overweight rating, which is a signal they expect the stock to perform better than the broader market. This move reflects confidence in the company's ability to keep growing its restaurant network and profit margins. While the stock already trades near this level, the higher target shows analysts are adjusting their expectations upward as the business proves it can scale profitably.
Analysts raised their price targets for Toast following the company's strong second-quarter earnings report. Most analysts, 20 out of 32, rate the stock as a buy, with an average target price of $37 that suggests 7% upside.
Average target$37.44+7%vs $35.07 today
Avg price
Low $30High $45
Buy32 analysts
0Bearish
12Neutral
20Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Bernstein
—
$39→$45
8/6/2026
RBC Capital
Sector Perform
$31→$36
8/5/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$36→$38
8/5/2026
UBS
Buy
$34→$39
8/5/2026
Canaccord Genuity
Buy
$37→$40
8/5/2026
BMO Capital
Outperform
$35→$40
8/5/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$36→$40
8/5/2026
Jefferies
Buy
$38→$40
8/5/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$35→$39
8/5/2026
Jefferies
Buy
$35→$38
8/3/2026
D.A. Davidson
—
$28→$30
7/29/2026
Truist Financial
Buy
$30→$33
7/24/2026
Toast earnings
Management has a habit of setting beatable targets, clearing its own profit and revenue goals in six of the last eight quarters.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Toast past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$0.32
$0.34
+5.5%
Revenue
$1.87B
$1.91B
+1.9%
Key highlights
Customer footprint expanding: The company added a record 9,500 net new locations this quarter, bringing its total count to approximately 180,000. This 22% increase from a year ago shows the platform is successfully moving beyond small restaurants into larger enterprise partners like BWH Hotels and bubble tea chains.
Recurring revenue growth: Annualized recurring run-rate, which is a measure of the yearly value of the company's active subscription and payment contracts, grew 25% to reach $2.4 billion. This steady growth is important because these recurring fees provide a predictable foundation for the business as it scales.
Core profit streams rising: Gross profit from the company's main software and financial services jumped 31% to $585 million. This growth outpaced the 22% rise in total transaction volume, suggesting the company is making more money from every dollar that flows through its systems.
Efficiency gains driving income: Operating income rose to $152 million, nearly double the $80 million reported in the same quarter last year. These results show the business is becoming much more profitable as it grows, with profit margins expanding even as it continues to invest in new products like its AI-driven Grow offering.
Full year outlook raised: Management increased its full year forecast for recurring gross profit to a range of $2,325 million to $2,355 million, up from its previous high of $2,320 million. The company also raised its target for adjusted earnings, which excludes certain costs, to a range of $805 million to $825 million for 2026.
Our take: This was a very strong quarter that proved the business can grow its profits much faster than its sales. The record addition of 9,500 new locations and the raised full year profit guidance show the company is winning market share. This performance reinforces the long term case for the stock as the platform becomes more essential to larger restaurant chains.
Toast’s next earnings date
Q3 2026
NOV
3
Expectation
EPS
$0.36
Revenue
$1.97B
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Total Locations
Growing above 20% year-over-year
180,000 in Q2 2026
ARR Growth
Staying above 25% year-over-year
25% YoY in Q2 2026
GPV per Location
Remaining stable or growing despite economic shifts