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UAL

United AirlinesUAL

$129.12
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
3.7
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Why United Airlines stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 2:24pm ET.

$129.12
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What's happening with the stock

United fell about 2 percent today, its first drop after a sharp multi-day climb, and it remains just 1 percent below its recent high. We think this is mostly about oil prices jumping today, which makes jet fuel more expensive and can eat into an airline's profits.

Our view

United is doing a better job than rivals at selling high-end tickets, which helps it handle the high cost of jet fuel. If you've been thinking about buying it, the current price is a fair one to pay.

Read full thesis on United Airlines

Latest United Airlines updates

Follow United Airlines to never miss an important update.

UAL
Macro & policyConcerning
Aug 6

Oil prices rise on Middle East shipping concerns

Crude oil prices rose after Iranian state news published a draft plan that would restrict ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil supplies. Higher oil prices quickly lead to more expensive jet fuel, which is one of the largest costs for any airline.

While United has been successful at raising ticket prices to cover these costs, fuel remains a volatile risk that can eat into profits if prices stay high for a long time. This development is worth watching as it directly impacts the airline's ability to maintain its profit margins.

Source: CNBC

UAL
Macro & policyPositive
Aug 6

Potential deal to reopen Strait of Hormuz reaches final stages

A deal between Iran and Oman to partially reopen the Strait of Hormuz is in its final stages, which could help stabilize global oil markets. This follows a spike in oil prices earlier in the day and provides some relief for airlines that are sensitive to fuel costs.

For United, a more stable oil market makes it easier to predict expenses and set ticket prices. While the situation in the Middle East remains fluid, this progress is a helpful sign for the company's cost outlook.

Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance

UAL
Company newsFor the record
Aug 3

Report highlights CEO strategy over past merger attempts

A report from Barron's notes that while United previously explored mergers with Delta and American Airlines that did not happen, the company is now on a better path. The focus has shifted toward internal growth and improving the business rather than looking for a massive deal. This supports the current view that United is winning by focusing on its own premium service and larger, more efficient planes. For long-term owners, it suggests the leadership is focused on the right goals to drive value without the risks of a complicated merger.

Source: Barrons

UAL
Company newsFor the record
Jul 31

Airlines signal continued support for Boeing at major airshow

Boeing narrowly beat its rival Airbus in total orders at the Farnborough Airshow, a major industry event where airlines announce new plane purchases. This is a signal that major carriers are still willing to rely on Boeing despite its recent production and safety challenges.

This matters for United because the airline is in the middle of a massive plan to replace its older planes with hundreds of new jets, many of which are Boeings. If Boeing can successfully turn its business around and deliver these planes on time, it helps United keep its costs down and its growth plans on track.

UAL
Company newsFor the record
Jul 26

Details emerge on past merger talks with Delta

United CEO Scott Kirby reportedly reached out to Delta's leadership last year to discuss a potential merger, but the conversations did not lead to a deal. Such a massive combination would have faced significant hurdles from government regulators who oversee competition in the airline industry. While the news shows the company was looking for ways to grow through a deal, United has since focused on its own fleet and premium service. This report is a look back at a path not taken and does not change the current strategy of growing the business independently.

Source: WSJ

United Airlines analyst price targets

Average target$160.89+25%vs $129.12 today
TodayAvg price
Low $130High $190
Buy47 analysts
0Bearish
16Neutral
31Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Jefferies
Buy
$160→$155
7/19/2026
Susquehanna
Positive
$172→$165
7/17/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$185→$190
7/16/2026
Susquehanna
Positive
$135→$172
7/7/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$182→$185
7/6/2026
Goldman Sachs
Buy
$131→$162
7/2/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$156→$153
7/1/2026
Wells Fargo
Overweight
$130→$165
6/30/2026
Barclays
Overweight
$150→$175
6/25/2026
UBS
Buy
$148→$153
6/23/2026
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$150→$182
6/1/2026
UBS
Buy
$139→$148
5/26/2026

United Airlines earnings

The company has beaten analyst profit targets for eight straight quarters. Management is clearly doing a good job of managing costs and setting expectations they can actually meet.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$0.67$2.31$3.95Oct '24Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26nextOct '26

United Airlines past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$1.88$1.99+5.9%
Revenue$17.62B$17.67B+0.3%

Key highlights

  • Profit outlook raised: Management raised its full year profit forecast to between $9.00 and $11.00 per share, up from previous expectations despite facing a $6 billion spike in estimated fuel costs. The company is confident it can offset these costs by raising fares, expecting to recover 100% of the fuel price increase by the fourth quarter.
  • Premium cabins leading growth: Revenue from premium seats grew 16% compared to last year, outperforming the 11% growth seen in basic economy. This shift toward higher priced tickets helped drive total revenue per available seat mile, a key efficiency metric for airlines, up 12% to 20.25 cents.
  • Starlink boosting satisfaction: United has installed Starlink high speed internet on 450 aircraft and expects to reach 1,000 by the end of the year. The investment is paying off for the brand as customer satisfaction scores for flights with the service are twice as high as those on planes with older WiFi systems.
  • Operational records broken: The airline flew a company record 640,717 customers on June 18 and achieved its best second quarter on-time departure rate since 2021. Reliable operations are critical for long term owners because they reduce the costs of cancellations and help United win more business from high paying corporate travelers, whose revenue rose 27% this quarter.
  • Debt reduction progress: United paid down $1 billion of high cost debt during the quarter and is targeting an investment grade rating, which is a formal score of financial strength from credit agencies, by the end of 2026. Strengthening the balance sheet is a priority as the company prepares to take delivery of new aircraft like the Airbus A321XLR this fall.

Our take: A very strong quarter that proves United can thrive even when fuel prices soar. The 16% jump in premium revenue shows that the strategy of investing in better cabins and faster WiFi is attracting the right customers. This performance reinforces the case for a business successfully shifting from a commodity carrier to a premium brand.

United Airlines’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
21
Expectation
EPS$3.18
Revenue$17.79B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Premium Revenue Growth
Sustaining growth above 10% annually
16% in Q2 2026
Net Leverage
Staying below 2.5x total debt to EBITDA
2.2x for trailing twelve months as of Q2 2026
TRASM Growth
Total revenue per available seat mile increasing YoY
12.1% YoY in Q2 2026
On-Time Departure Rate
Ranking in the top 3 among major U.S. carriers
Best Q2 since 2021

More United Airlines coverage from around the web

United Airlines' Megamergers Didn't Fly—but CEO Has It on the Right Trajectory

Barrons · Aug 3

United Pursued Delta Merger: Report. Airline Stocks Are Rising for a Different Reason.

Barrons · Jul 27

United Approached Delta Last Year About Merging Airlines

WSJ · Jul 26

United Airlines Stock May Be Ready for Another Takeoff

Schaeffers Research · Jul 24

Union for United Airlines' mechanics, other staff, secures in-principle pact for new contract

Reuters · Jul 21

United Airlines flights delayed nationwide after 'technology issue'

Business Insider · Jul 18

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