Updated Aug 6 at 2:24pm ET.
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Crude oil prices rose after Iranian state news published a draft plan that would restrict ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global oil supplies. Higher oil prices quickly lead to more expensive jet fuel, which is one of the largest costs for any airline.
While United has been successful at raising ticket prices to cover these costs, fuel remains a volatile risk that can eat into profits if prices stay high for a long time. This development is worth watching as it directly impacts the airline's ability to maintain its profit margins.
Source: CNBC
A deal between Iran and Oman to partially reopen the Strait of Hormuz is in its final stages, which could help stabilize global oil markets. This follows a spike in oil prices earlier in the day and provides some relief for airlines that are sensitive to fuel costs.
For United, a more stable oil market makes it easier to predict expenses and set ticket prices. While the situation in the Middle East remains fluid, this progress is a helpful sign for the company's cost outlook.
Source: Bloomberg Markets and Finance
A report from Barron's notes that while United previously explored mergers with Delta and American Airlines that did not happen, the company is now on a better path. The focus has shifted toward internal growth and improving the business rather than looking for a massive deal. This supports the current view that United is winning by focusing on its own premium service and larger, more efficient planes. For long-term owners, it suggests the leadership is focused on the right goals to drive value without the risks of a complicated merger.
Source: Barrons
Boeing narrowly beat its rival Airbus in total orders at the Farnborough Airshow, a major industry event where airlines announce new plane purchases. This is a signal that major carriers are still willing to rely on Boeing despite its recent production and safety challenges.
This matters for United because the airline is in the middle of a massive plan to replace its older planes with hundreds of new jets, many of which are Boeings. If Boeing can successfully turn its business around and deliver these planes on time, it helps United keep its costs down and its growth plans on track.
United CEO Scott Kirby reportedly reached out to Delta's leadership last year to discuss a potential merger, but the conversations did not lead to a deal. Such a massive combination would have faced significant hurdles from government regulators who oversee competition in the airline industry. While the news shows the company was looking for ways to grow through a deal, United has since focused on its own fleet and premium service. This report is a look back at a path not taken and does not change the current strategy of growing the business independently.
Source: WSJ
The company has beaten analyst profit targets for eight straight quarters. Management is clearly doing a good job of managing costs and setting expectations they can actually meet.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $3.18 |
| Revenue | $17.79B |

Barrons · Aug 3

Barrons · Jul 27

WSJ · Jul 26

Schaeffers Research · Jul 24

Reuters · Jul 21

Business Insider · Jul 18
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