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UPS

UPSUPS

$103.20
Updated Aug 6, 2026
Quality Score
3.4
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Why UPS stock moved?

Updated Aug 6 at 2:07pm ET.

$103.20
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What's happening with the stock

UPS fell about 4 percent today, its second straight down day, and now sits about 12 percent below its high from mid-July. We think this is mostly a cooling off after the stock ran up ahead of its late-July earnings report.

Our view

UPS is successfully shifting away from low-margin Amazon deliveries to focus on more profitable healthcare and small business shipping. If you already own it, there is nothing to do here but sit tight and let that strategy play out.

Read full thesis on UPS

Latest UPS updates

Follow UPS to never miss an important update.

UPS
Macro & policyWorth watching
Aug 6

Oil prices rise on potential shipping restrictions in the Middle East

Crude oil prices rose on Thursday following reports that Iran may impose new restrictions on ships moving through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway for global energy supplies. Because UPS operates a massive fleet of planes and trucks, higher fuel prices can quickly increase its operating costs. While the company uses fuel surcharges to pass these costs on to customers, a sustained spike in oil can still squeeze profits if shipping demand cools as a result.

Source: CNBC

UPS
Company newsFor the record
Aug 5

Quarterly dividend set at $1.64 per share

UPS announced it will pay a quarterly dividend of $1.64 per share on September 3. The company has either maintained or increased this payout every year since 1999, which is a key part of its appeal for investors looking for steady income. This move signals that management remains confident in its cash flow even as it navigates a major shift in its shipping strategy.

Source: Business Wire

UPS
ProductPositive
Jul 30

New digital tools launched for small business customers

UPS released a series of digital updates, including a new online dashboard for managing pickups and faster label creation for small business owners. These tools are part of a broader push to win more business from smaller customers, who typically pay higher rates than giant retailers. By making its platform easier to use, UPS aims to capture more of this high-margin volume to offset the loss of lower-paying shipments.

Source: Business Wire

UPS
EarningsPositive
Jul 28

Full-year outlook raised as Amazon transition nears completion

UPS reported adjusted earnings of $1.76 per share, beating the $1.65 analysts expected. Revenue reached $22.8 billion, also topping estimates. The company raised its full-year revenue goal to about $91.2 billion, a sign that its multi-year plan to prioritize more profitable packages over sheer volume is gaining traction.

Management confirmed that the planned reduction of lower-paying Amazon shipments is largely finished. While daily package volumes in the U.S. fell about 3 percent, the company is earning more on the packages it does carry. This transition is critical because it allows UPS to focus its network on higher-value sectors like healthcare and small businesses, which should lead to better profit margins over time.

See the full quarter, and how our tracked metrics did

Source: 8-K filing

UPS
Company newsPositive
Jul 25

Logistics firms expand cold storage for healthcare boom

UPS and its rivals are pouring money into specialized cold-chain infrastructure to meet the needs of the growing healthcare market, including the shipping of popular weight-loss drugs. These temperature-sensitive shipments require specialized handling and facilities, which allows UPS to charge premium prices. For a company trying to move away from low-profit retail packages, this expansion into high-stakes medical logistics is a key part of its long-term growth plan.

Source: CNBC

UPS analyst price targets

Analysts adjusted their price targets for UPS following the company's second-quarter earnings report and updated outlook. Most analysts are split, with 21 of 45 rating the stock a buy, and the average target suggests 15% upside from today's price.

Average target$119+15%vs $103.20 today
TodayAvg price
Low $76High $132
Hold45 analysts
4Bearish
20Neutral
21Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
BMO Capital
Market Perform
$110→$115
7/29/2026
Oppenheimer
Outperform
$115→$117
7/29/2026
Susquehanna
Neutral
$118→$120
7/29/2026
Stifel Nicolaus
Buy
$114→$115
7/29/2026
Stephens
Overweight
$135→$130
7/29/2026
UBS
Buy
$123→$124
7/29/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$131
7/29/2026
Raymond James
—
$131
7/29/2026
Goldman Sachs
—
$128→$132
7/28/2026
Evercore ISI
In Line
$117→$118
7/28/2026
Evercore ISI
In Line
$117
7/21/2026
Bernstein
Outperform
$133
7/21/2026

UPS earnings

UPS has a very consistent track record of beating analyst targets, which suggests management is conservative with its forecasts and knows how to clear the bar they set.

Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
$1.00$1.90$2.79Oct '24Jan '25Apr '25Jul '25Oct '25Jan '26Apr '26Jul '26nextOct '26

UPS past earnings results

ExpectedActualSurprise
EPS$1.65$1.76+6.7%
Revenue$21.86B$22.80B+4.3%

Key highlights

  • Profit outlook raised: The company increased its full year goal for adjusted operating profit, which is the money left after running expenses, to $8.65 billion. This move signals that management is confident in their plan to cut costs and move away from lower-paying contracts like the one with Amazon.
  • Pricing power improving: The amount of money earned on each package sent within the United States jumped 9.3% this quarter. This sharp increase shows the company is successfully charging more per delivery even as they handle a different mix of customer shipments.
  • Transformation costs hit earnings: UPS took a $1.05 per share charge this quarter to pay for workforce reductions and closing facilities. These costs come from a program to automate more of the network and reduce the total number of employees to make the business more efficient over the long term.
  • International revenue surge: Sales in the international division grew 12.5% to $5.04 billion compared to the same time last year. This growth was driven by a nearly 19% increase in the revenue collected for every package shipped outside the United States.
  • Supply chain margins expanding: The operating margin for the supply chain and healthcare division rose to 10.2%, up from 8.0% a year ago. A higher margin means the company is keeping more profit from its specialized logistics work, including shipping medical supplies.

Our take: This was a strong quarter that marks a clear turning point for the business. By successfully raising prices while cutting billions in costs through its automation and workforce shifts, UPS is proving it can grow profits even with fewer total packages. This performance reinforces the case for the company's long term efficiency plan.

UPS’s next earnings date

Q3 2026
OCT
27
Expectation
EPS$1.67
Revenue$22.16B

Metrics we are tracking

Metric
Expectations
Status
Revenue Per Piece
Growing above 5% annually in the U.S. Domestic segment
9.3% growth in U.S. Domestic in Q2 2026
Adjusted Operating Margin
Reaching the 9.6% full-year target for 2026
9.2% in Q2 2026
Healthcare Revenue Growth
Maintaining double-digit annual growth in specialized medical shipping
Not separately broken out for Q2 2026
Package Volume Trend
Stabilizing at or above -1% year-over-year growth
-3.3% in U.S. Domestic in Q2 2026

More UPS coverage from around the web

UPS Announces Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · Press release · Aug 5

UPS Makes Shipping Easier than Ever with New Digital Tools for SMB Customers

Business Wire · Press release · Jul 30

UPS CEO on Return to Growth, Global Economic Outlook

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · Video · Jul 29

UPS Q2: Trapped By Its Costs

Seeking Alpha · Opinion · Jul 28

UPS CEO Says the Amazon Glide Down Is 'Behind Us'

Bloomberg Markets and Finance · Video · Jul 28

Less Amazon, more profit: UPS raises forecast after cutting millions of lower-yield deliveries

GeekWire · Jul 28

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