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Morgan Stanley lowered its price target for the company to $29 from $31 while keeping an equal weight rating, which means they expect the stock to perform in line with the broader market. This follows a similar move by Mizuho earlier this month. The average analyst target now sits at $29, suggesting that while professional expectations have cooled slightly, they still see room for the stock to rise from its current price of about $24.
Source: Morgan Stanley
On September 8, the company announced that John M. Sullivan was appointed as an independent director. Mr. Sullivan previously served as the president and CEO of Cadillac Fairview, a major North American real estate owner and developer, for over a decade. His appointment will increase the board size to eight members once regulatory approvals are finalized.
For a company like VICI that relies on finding and buying high-quality real estate to grow, adding a director with a long track record in large-scale property development is a logical move. This is an orderly addition of expertise rather than a sudden shift in leadership, and it fits the company's focus on expanding its portfolio of entertainment and retail assets.
Source: 8-K filing
Mizuho Securities lowered its price target for the stock from $30 to $27. Wells Fargo also adjusted its target this week to $26 while keeping a neutral rating. These small tweaks reflect a slightly more cautious view on the stock's near-term price, but they do not represent a major change in how analysts view the underlying business. The average analyst target across all firms now sits at $30.
Source: Mizuho Securities
Federal Reserve official Beth Hammack stated that it is time to raise interest rates to manage the economy. For a real estate owner like VICI, higher rates are a double-edged sword. They can make the cost of borrowing money to buy new properties more expensive, and they often make dividend-paying stocks look less attractive compared to safe government bonds.
VICI relies on being able to borrow money at lower rates than the rent it collects from its tenants. While its existing leases have built-in rent increases to help with inflation, a steady rise in interest rates could make it harder for the company to grow through new acquisitions without squeezing its profit margins.
Source: CNBC
On August 14, VICI Properties finished selling $1.75 billion in new bonds. The money is split between $900 million due in 2031 and $850 million due in 2036. The company plans to use the cash to pay back about $1.75 billion in older debt that was scheduled to be paid off in September and December of 2026. This is a routine move for a large real estate owner. By selling new debt now to pay off what it owes soon, VICI is managing its "maturity wall," which is the schedule of when its big loans must be repaid. The new loans carry interest rates of 5.4% and 5.75%, which are higher than the 4.25% and 4.5% rates on the debt being replaced. This reflects the higher interest rate environment compared to a few years ago, but it clears the company's path of major repayments for several years.
Source: 8-K filing
Management has struggled to set a predictable bar lately, with actual results swinging widely around analyst targets for three straight quarters.
| Expectation | |
|---|---|
| EPS | $0.72 |
| Revenue | $1.06B |
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