Wolfspeed is flat today after a sharp 11 percent drop yesterday, and it has been a volatile month overall. We think this is mostly a quiet pause before next week's earnings report, following a partnership announcement with LITEON.
Our view
The company is spending a lot of cash to get its new factories running, which makes the stock a risky bet until those facilities start turning a profit. If you already own it, the best move is to sit tight and wait for next week's update on production levels.
Wolfspeed has partnered with LITEON to put its silicon carbide technology into power systems designed for AI data centers. These systems handle the high-voltage electricity needed to run the massive racks of computers that process AI tasks. Silicon carbide is a material that handles heat and high power more efficiently than standard silicon, which helps data centers waste less energy.
This is a helpful step for Wolfspeed as it tries to find more uses for its chips beyond electric vehicles. While the company is still spending heavily to build out its factories, winning a spot in the infrastructure that supports AI shows that its specialized chips are in demand for more than just cars. It gives the company another way to fill its new production lines with orders.
The company appointed Andy W. Mattes to its board, bringing in an executive with 40 years of experience at firms like Hewlett Packard and Siemens. Board members oversee a company's strategy and management on behalf of shareholders. While a new director rarely changes a company's path on their own, his deep background in the chip industry could be helpful as the company tries to fix its manufacturing issues and turn its massive new factory into a profitable operation.
Lawsuit filed against Navitas for patent infringement
The lawsuit claims that Navitas is infringing on five different patents related to wide bandgap semiconductors, which are specialized chips that handle power more efficiently than standard silicon. Protecting these ideas is important because the company has spent billions on research to gain a technical edge in the electric vehicle market. Legal battles like this can take years to resolve and often end in settlements, but a win would help prevent rivals from using the company's own inventions to compete against it.
Analysts have been quiet lately, with most recent activity limited to individual firms maintaining their existing positions. Only 6 of 19 analysts recommend buying the stock, though the average price target suggests an 80% gain from current levels.
Average target$54.32+80%vs $30.14 today
TodayAvg price
Low $9High $115
Hold19 analysts
4Bearish
9Neutral
6Bullish
FirmRatingPrice TargetDate
Susquehanna
Neutral
$30→$20
1/22/2026
Susquehanna
Neutral
$1.50→$30
10/22/2025
Piper Sandler
Overweight
$18
11/7/2024
Mizuho Securities
Underperform
$11
10/21/2024
Mizuho Securities
Underperform
$9.50
10/16/2024
Citigroup
Sell
$16
10/15/2024
Susquehanna
Neutral
$23→$16
8/22/2024
Piper Sandler
Overweight
$35→$20
8/22/2024
Canaccord Genuity
Buy
$45
6/25/2024
Mizuho Securities
Underperform
$27→$28
6/18/2024
Deutsche Bank
Hold
$25
5/7/2024
Canaccord Genuity
Buy
$47
5/2/2024
Wolfspeed earnings
The company has a history of beating analyst targets, but its actual losses have widened significantly as it pays for new factory equipment.
Earnings history
EstimateBeatMiss
Wolfspeed past earnings results
Expected
Actual
Surprise
EPS
$-3.78
$-3.26
+13.8%
Revenue
$150M
$150M
+0.1%
Key highlights
Profitability remains under pressure: The adjusted gross margin, which measures profit after manufacturing costs, fell to negative 21% from a positive 2% a year ago. This drop reflects the high costs of running factories and shifting production to newer technologies while sales volumes remain lower than in the past.
Data center growth accelerating: Revenue from artificial intelligence data centers grew by 30% this quarter, providing a bright spot as the company launches new power-saving chips for this market. This growth is helping offset weakness in other areas, though it is still a small part of the $150.2 million in total revenue.
Debt reduction improves flexibility: Management reduced total debt by $97 million and refinanced high-cost loans, which is expected to save the company $62 million in annual interest payments. These moves, along with a $1.2 billion cash pile, provide more time for the business to reach profitability following its emergence from bankruptcy restructuring.
Revenue and margin outlook: Management expects next quarter's revenue to be between $140 million and $160 million, showing little change from the current level. They also warned that profit margins will stay in negative territory for the near term as they continue to invest in new production sites.
Our take: This was a difficult quarter that shows just how long the road to recovery will be. While the debt refinancing and data center growth are small steps forward, the negative 21% profit margins are a major concern. The business is not yet proving it can manufacture these chips profitably at scale, which keeps the long-term case for the stock highly risky.
Wolfspeed’s next earnings date
Q4 2026
AUG
19
Expectation
EPS
$-2.45
Revenue
$150M
Metrics we are tracking
Metric
Expectations
Status
Non-GAAP Gross Margin
Climbing above 20% for two consecutive quarters
-21% in Q3 FY2026
Mohawk Valley Revenue
Reaching a run rate of $100 million per quarter
$49 million in the most recent quarter
Cash Burn Rate
Quarterly free cash flow improving to less than -$300 million
-$90 million in Q3 FY2026
Design Wins
Maintaining a pipeline of over $2 billion in new contracts